MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95e5c3540cebbed36801de6b25df3617e1bad6a2b7e01a7dbf6eb04ad87f5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $680,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Mets | 44c | 250,347$109,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,852.8 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 140,713$78,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,799.22 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 33,333$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 32,147$11,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,545.86 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 19,532$6,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.26 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 48c | 18,420$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,531.83 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 17,663$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,891.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 44c | 16,635$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,315.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 13,712$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.12 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 13,447$7,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 11,031$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.89 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets | 47c | 10,483$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.78 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 10,200$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 8,907$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.68 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 8,002$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.94 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 7,930$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 44c | 7,073$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 45c | 5,526$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.17 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed New York Mets | 44c | 5,471$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.99 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.93 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,685$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 4,663$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 4,605$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.24 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 4,351$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 4,274$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 3,241$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,214$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,197$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 70c | 3,083$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,918$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,581$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.87 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,244$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.45 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.14 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 2,144$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,997$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,938$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.06 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,900$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,895$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.03 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,831$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.95 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…0417backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,786$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,751$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,652$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…fc4abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,520$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…421ebacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,520$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,500$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.99 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,415$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,403$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.27 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,383$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,249$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.97 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,169$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,096$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…92b4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 994$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 979$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 946.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed New York Mets | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 930.7$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 44c | 910$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…df3abacked New York Mets | 43c | 899.97$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets | 44c | 859.97$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.58 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 37c | 851.05$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.16 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 830.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 791.16$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.96 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 44c | 778$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 701$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 700.44$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 699.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 699.96$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 698$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 57c | 695.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 690.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 686.16$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.11 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked New York Mets | 42c | 683.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.33 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed New York Mets | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 660.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Seattle Mariners | 2c | 638.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…ff61backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 636.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Mets | 43c | 635$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.86 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed New York Mets | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…2147backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 601$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…0e99backed New York Mets | 43c | 599.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 572.91$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.83 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 566.64$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-5.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.