TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f79…ff61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.1
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$47.2
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$10.06
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.12
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$5.46
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$54.63
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$18.51
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$149.17
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$596.92
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.23
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.2
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$18.01
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.95
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$812.79
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.63
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+263.8%+$75.79
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$43.55
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.71
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$43.74
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$10.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$29.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.