MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c53618154f4de6b1b138b48aeaf6bc4c2a6227c4f65dbefce1ab67bbce394c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 69,640$44,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,739.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 66,666$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,999.66 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.98 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 52,202$24,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,975.7 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 43,860$21,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,368.37 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.98 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.93 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 19,653$9,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,826.26 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Boston Red Sox | 11c | 18,931$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.37 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…d45dbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 18,123$9,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,061.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 15,389$9,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 14,345$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 10,256$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.3 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 9,655$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 8,602$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 7,768$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 7,468$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 6,314$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,817$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 4,692$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 4,164$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.05 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,964$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 3,713$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,645$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.69 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,213$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.37 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,819$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.9 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,689$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.84 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,580$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.6 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 2,375$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,341$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.1 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,176$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 2,099$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,962$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.19 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,825$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,724$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,720$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.81 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,650$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.84 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.98 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,585$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,499$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.39 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,445$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.64 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,324$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.63 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 1,317$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,281$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.65 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,227$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,205$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.66 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…c1ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 905.23$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.35 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…0e99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 899.98$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 899.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 899.96$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.98 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 826.7$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 802.99$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 799.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 784.31$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 729.41$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…3a49backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 700.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 676.87$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 666.05$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.96 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 663.28$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 661.69$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 644.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 638.38$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 636$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.36 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 614.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…9c06backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 591.74$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7734backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 585.88$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 578.39$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 576.66$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 510.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 490.09$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 409$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.