MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf94cace6684a017c4379d4cbe34b5d433946b6c8b4118fd095dc63aa828dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 47c | 214,244$99,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,244.86 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 100,000$53,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,944.68 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 53c | 42,453$22,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,469.35 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 34,740$18,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,412.11 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 15,737$8,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,340.61 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 13,829$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.42 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 11,517$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.1 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 10,475$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 8,621$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 53c | 7,382$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Under | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 6,210$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 48c | 4,867$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 48c | 4,400$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 3,233$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 3,197$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 2,523$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.6 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Under | 48c | 2,134$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.72 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 47c | 2,133$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.67 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 47c | 2,031$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.8 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 1,855$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,849$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Under | 47c | 1,677$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 1,639$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 48c | 1,613$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.62 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 1,343$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.74 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 1,300$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 53c | 1,260$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.92 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 46c | 1,189$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.86 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 865.44$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.99 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 829$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 48c | 740$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Under | 73c | 699.59$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 48c | 624.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.52 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 53c | 567.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 52c | 564.53$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 48c | 520$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 47c | 500$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Under | 48c | 448.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 47c | 430.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 48c | 419.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 47c | 411.77$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Under | 48c | 362.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…bd2dbacked Over | 54c | 345.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…1996backed Under | 47c | 338$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Under | 48c | 330.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 321$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 41c | 318.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 47c | 307.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 296$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Under | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 276.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Under | 48c | 268.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 266.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…a10bbacked Under | 48c | 261.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 48c | 252.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 236$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Under | 48c | 222.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 217.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Under | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 203 | 57.1%116 W · 87 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 53c | 199.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 187.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 55c | 179.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 58c | 170.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…1bb5backed Under | 71c | 168.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Under | 47c | 158.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…30edbacked Under | 47c | 147.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 139.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 131.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 130.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Over | 20c | 122.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.