TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92cc…1bb5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$90.42
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$19.04
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$48.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$16.7
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69%+$89.75
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.83
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.33
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$56.22
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+57%+$5.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$690.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31%+$52.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.