TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Under49c102,926$50,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,433.5213561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c39,186$19,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,200.644,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c17,456$8,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,670.6711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c17,434$8,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,529.1232152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over51c14,803$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,253.4711656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c12,183$6,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,091.3724150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over51c10,500$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1451,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c7,442$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.593,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c6,027$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.394,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.357843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under50c3,717$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.555356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c2,009$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.311,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73538353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Under50c791.2$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.64259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3112449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over50c715.16$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.293,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c660.36$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.221,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c637.94$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2127249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c629.98$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.688,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under50c615$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.55954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Under50c550.08$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0419550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c4…c28bbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over51c480.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over52c477$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22738455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over53c467$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.798,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over51c432$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.688856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c424$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.522,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19632850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Under50c399.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7310650%53 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf93…5d2abacked Under54c372.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked Under50c295.28$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under50c288.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2912752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over60c288.33$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3319842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c222.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Under50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under48c202.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9937052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under48c195.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c173$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.841,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Under50c170.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.274757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over51c168.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6312549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c159.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c154.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.885,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Under51c149.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under50c130.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.253644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Over51c122.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.523040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over70c118$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.925,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over51c116.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.912755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ddb…ed44backed Over53c111.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.324854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f2…97a6backed Under50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9859749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under50c106.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.161,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…bd11backed Under50c100.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.154259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0214759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c97.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.668,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f9…c755backed Under50c94.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.082360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under50c88.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1211949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over53c79.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6472655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadbc…c0ffbacked Under50c69.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x558f…fe94backed Under50c69.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Under50c63.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.686657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under29c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.273,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c62.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.012,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdd…8271backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304067.5%27 W · 13 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over51c58.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.697342.5%31 W · 42 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Under50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2585949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Under50c50.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3815549.7%77 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…abc9backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0281…f0debacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under50c47.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9215857.6%91 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c44.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over51c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5625850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over71c43.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5417446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd687…a024backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x13ec…6452backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205064%32 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20a2…bfa8backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010757.9%62 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3734…c1c8backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.