MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43ff51691087995246d3c5b369541b8fd18fee9307939dd03c64fa74bc3c05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 49c | 102,926$50,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,433.52 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 39,186$19,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 17,456$8,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,670.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 17,434$8,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,529.12 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 51c | 14,803$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,253.47 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 12,183$6,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.37 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 7,442$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 6,027$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 50c | 3,717$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.55 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 2,009$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.31 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Under | 50c | 791.2$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 715.16$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 660.36$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.22 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 637.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 629.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 50c | 615$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 50c | 550.08$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…c28bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 480.76$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 477$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 467$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 51c | 432$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 424$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 50c | 399.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Under | 54c | 372.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Under | 50c | 295.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 50c | 288.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 60c | 288.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 222.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Under | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 48c | 195.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Under | 50c | 170.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 51c | 168.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 159.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 154.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Under | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 50c | 130.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Over | 51c | 122.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 51c | 116.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Over | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…97a6backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 50c | 106.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Under | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 97.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…c755backed Under | 50c | 94.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 50c | 88.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 53c | 79.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…c0ffbacked Under | 50c | 69.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…fe94backed Under | 50c | 69.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 50c | 63.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 62.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…8271backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 51c | 58.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Under | 50c | 50.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…f0debacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 50c | 47.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 51c | 44.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 71c | 43.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…a024backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…bfa8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-9.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.