TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13ec…6452

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5064%32 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$46.36
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$295.93
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+109%+$234.02
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.2
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$181.61
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$103.13
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$149.29
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-70.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.46
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$73.25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$40.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.