MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3cecff457d3da44258237c36d78d33d432499a76bb0cf94bb9f3d84c9b9e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $906,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $906,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 250,000$137,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,499.93 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 216,439$120,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,693.11 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 210,983$94,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,770.97 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 97,187$43,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,734.33 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 67,054$19,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,631.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 48,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 44,387$19,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,530.4 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 32,275$14,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,273.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 26,956$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,956.39 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 24,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 22,797$16,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 22,400$9,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,856 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 20,154$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.04 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 16,724$7,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 16,255$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 13,499$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…cd53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 9,769$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.07 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…f185backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 8,331$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 7,179$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.82 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 7,074$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,002$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 6,655$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.09 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 5,479$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.55 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 5,386$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.9 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,885$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.34 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,658$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.94 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 4,465$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.48 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 4,463$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.48 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,854$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,481$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 3,262$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,212$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,043$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.57 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 3,001$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,999$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.78 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,700$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,676$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,594$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,580$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,559$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,214$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.16 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,201$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,078$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 1,824$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,496$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.94 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,482$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.09 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,423$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 1,353$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.09 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,193$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,171$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.24 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,093$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.26 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 991.57$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 912.31$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 900.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 899.98$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 896.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 874.27$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.81 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 864.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 750$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.67 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 744.27$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 727.27$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 721.8$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.59 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 710.56$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 708.69$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 699.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 664.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 657.52$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.46 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 656.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 648.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 599.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 580$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 574.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 558.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 535$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 511.67$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 499.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Washington Nationals | 11c | 494.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 480$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 479.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.