MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6775ae85e8459ba94ccfad26b50fce03b5f1ece68d7117b32e1c73ae976527bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 53c | 15,339$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,209.08 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 25c | 9,054$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.45 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.58 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 49c | 5,434$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 39c | 4,797$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 4,309$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.34 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 2,477$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,404$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 2,338$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,231$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.35 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,203$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,800$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 49c | 1,602$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.02 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,355$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 1,348$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 53c | 1,183$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.01 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 61c | 1,046$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 967.94$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.93 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 720$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 646.15$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 61c | 583.95$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 62c | 507.72$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 495$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 491.43$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 61c | 438.31$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 371.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 361.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 62c | 319.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 61c | 244.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 47c | 233.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 215.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 62c | 173.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 159.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 36c | 158.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 74c | 147.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 142.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 138.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 57c | 129.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 124.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 61c | 118.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 61c | 117.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 112.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 103.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 44c | 101.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Under | 61c | 94.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 43c | 91.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 61c | 82.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 75.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…9903backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 55c | 70.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 17c | 68.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 50c | 59.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Under | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Under | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Under | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 48c | 49.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 47.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Under | 52c | 42.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…8339backed Under | 51c | 38.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 33.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 47c | 33.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 44c | 25.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 79c | 22.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 62c | 18.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 60c | 17.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.