MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa782a426fb996d22d85188f307ddb73f7a9e8251ead6e806ca3a79a289d5d48a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $527,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $537,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Under	52c	213,453$110,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103,034.33	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Over	48c	172,475$82,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,668.99	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	48c	164,557$79,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,587.06	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	52c	49,777$25,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,080.27	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	53c	31,373$16,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,896.46	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	52c	17,500$9,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,400	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	51c	15,008$7,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,351.07	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…cd53backed Under	52c	12,000$6,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,760	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.98	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked Under	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,599.98	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,599.98	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	47c	9,107$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320.48	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	55c	9,000$4,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,050	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	52c	6,802$3,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,256.99	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Under	45c	6,625$2,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,632.3	212	42%89 W · 123 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	5,367$3,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.84	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	46c	5,322$2,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,466.93	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over	50c	5,100$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	51c	4,797$2,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350.53	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Under	51c	4,770$2,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,337.36	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Under	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.15	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under	52c	3,742$1,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,796.4	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	50c	3,695$1,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,847.6	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	53c	3,407$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600.56	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under	52c	3,096$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486.26	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	51c	2,843$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,383.63	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	2,751$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.53	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	54c	2,686$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,246.56	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	47c	2,508$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.12	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	45c	2,313$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.37	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Over	50c	2,028$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.83	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over	50c	2,003$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.49	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	49c	1,895$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.55	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	51c	1,471$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.79	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under	52c	1,135$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.03	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	51c	1,111$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.39	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over	48c	1,059$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.33	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Under	53c	1,057$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.6	137	59.1%81 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	53c	999.99$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under	51c	999.98$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.99	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	986.76$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.63	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under	54c	985.58$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.88	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Over	50c	940$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	50c	939.78$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.89	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over	31c	937.67$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	43c	923.04$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.93	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	45c	829$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.51	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over	49c	816.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+7.4wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Under	51c	789.34$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.67	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-9.2wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x28fb…5e15backed Under	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…f20ebacked Under	52c	770.2$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.2	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.25per pick	52cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Under	53c	766.55$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.5	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under	54c	722.91$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.54	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	43c	719.64$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	265	45.7%121 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	53c	691.57$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.04	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under	52c	685.49$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.24	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…d9b8backed Under	54c	660.91$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.84	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce7c…6007backed Under	52c	644.15$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.19	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	55c	638.97$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.54	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	31c	632.13$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.96	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	49c	618.73$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.73	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under	53c	594.33$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.34	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under	53c	593.94$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.74	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	52c	575.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.89	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	52c	549$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.89	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	68c	528.2$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.44	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over	50c	490.19$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.1	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	53c	479.99$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.2	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under	52c	475$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.25	216	53.2%115 W · 101 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	53c	442.73$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.56	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under	59c	427.66$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.39	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under	52c	426.77$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.85	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	3c	411$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	243	50.2%122 W · 121 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Under	54c	406.29$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.29	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	57c	401.66$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.94	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under	53c	391$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.68	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Under	53c	388.99$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.09	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Under	52c	383.25$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.96	106	50%53 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	50c	376.39$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.48	726	55.4%402 W · 324 L	+40.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	33c	362.11$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.21	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked Under	68c	323.23$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.23	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	31c	316.06$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.98	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	53c	283.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.02	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under	52c	277.37$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.14	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	41c	273.19$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.92	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	32c	265$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.65	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Over	50c	264$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over	49c	252.34$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.21	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	32c	233.31$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.66	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13ec…6452backed Under	56c	233.13$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.13	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsSan Francisco Giants won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event