MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb332c4077ea1847eaa8a6c1e24a46c9cae14f426d3e7ec08861c3694f15194d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,962,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,198,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,962,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 240,012$119,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,089.28 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 239,407$129,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,279.88 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 213,900$98,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,497 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 129,112$63,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,789.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 65,400$35,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,316 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…4d7abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 50,223$25,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,133.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 50,059$25,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,276.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 45,209$20,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,865.08 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 43,656$23,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,537.53 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 41,850$19,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,180.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 33,839$18,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,658.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 32,143$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 29,738$14,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,981.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 24,090$11,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,526.58 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 19,179$10,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,831.54 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 18,529$10,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,011.77 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 17,800$8,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,612 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 17,627$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 16,705$9,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.53 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 16,139$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.95 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 14,895$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 13,470$6,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 12,683$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.89 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 10,695$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.21 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 10,409$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.39 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 9,691$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.79 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 7,605$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 7,213$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 7,102$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 6,467$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.1 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 6,298$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.99 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 6,212$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 6,035$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.65 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 6,026$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 5,947$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.21 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…41f3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 5,409$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 5,245$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 5,193$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 5,100$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.61 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,967$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,716$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.48 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 4,036$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.8 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 4,023$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.27 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,968$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.46 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,797$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.34 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 3,738$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.81 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,569$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.72 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,496$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.29 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,456$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.17 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.33 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,323$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 3,320$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.06 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,143$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,071$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…6416backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…1259backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 2,822$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,815$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,812$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.39 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 2,506$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.44 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,458$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.17 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…4959backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,360$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,337$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,294$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.96 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,284$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.18 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,273$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,196$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.66 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,147$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.76 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.92 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,039$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 2,027$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.53 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,021$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.25 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,004$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.81 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…0493backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,000$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.25 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,893$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,890$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,780$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.28 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.