TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x980f…6416

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.28
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Viktoria Hruncakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$632
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$461.07
ITF Brisbane: Alana Subasic vs Belle Thompsonbacked Alana Subasic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connellbacked Matisse Bobichon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trieste: Raul Brancaccio vs Matej Dodigbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+59%+$578.6
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$208.69
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.15
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.05
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,834
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.62
Estevez vs. Soto: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.49
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$321.77
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$198
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$132.42
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$150.75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$229.15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.74
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250.8
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,362.98
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$53.15
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$586.13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$191.4
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$882.5
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,199.97
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$223.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,516.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.