Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630aca6e981f0d4be249ff27cadfb067bb3a9d3d160a2b0e6287a810a91da8a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tatjana Mariaof Maria Sakkari, Tatjana Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Maria Sakkari | 24c | 53,147$12,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,578.94 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tatjana Maria | 65c | 24,746$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,556.9 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tatjana Maria | 72c | 17,526$12,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.64 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tatjana Maria | 70c | 17,219$12,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.23 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Tatjana Maria | 51c | 16,840$8,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,251.47 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Maria Sakkari | 48c | 15,704$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.07 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Tatjana Maria | 51c | 10,484$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.07 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tatjana Maria | 72c | 10,348$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.88 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Maria Sakkari | 39c | 10,335$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Maria Sakkari | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 47%170 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tatjana Maria | 51c | 8,830$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.7 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Maria Sakkari | 3c | 8,215$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.58 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tatjana Maria | 52c | 6,913$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.76 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tatjana Maria | 75c | 6,636$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.51 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Maria Sakkari | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Sakkari | 32c | 5,445$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.43 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tatjana Maria | 62c | 5,427$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.56 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tatjana Maria | 52c | 5,250$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Tatjana Maria | 53c | 4,742$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tatjana Maria | 70c | 4,251$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.5 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Maria Sakkari | 37c | 4,200$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.23 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tatjana Maria | 47c | 4,157$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.49 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Maria Sakkari | 48c | 4,026$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Maria Sakkari | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Maria Sakkari | 42c | 3,449$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.52 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Maria Sakkari | 17c | 3,380$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.52 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Maria Sakkari | 34c | 3,282$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.95 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Tatjana Maria | 47c | 3,243$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.94 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Maria Sakkari | 39c | 3,241$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.29 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Maria Sakkari | 56c | 3,005$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.6 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Maria Sakkari | 17c | 2,712$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.77 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Maria Sakkari | 40c | 2,665$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.79 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Maria Sakkari | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Maria Sakkari | 39c | 2,535$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.3 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Tatjana Maria | 56c | 2,527$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.89 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Maria Sakkari | 24c | 2,351$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.83 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Maria Sakkari | 29c | 2,223$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Maria Sakkari | 42c | 2,067$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.83 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Sakkari | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.01 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…75f9backed Maria Sakkari | 56c | 1,985$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Maria Sakkari | 38c | 1,852$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.62 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Tatjana Maria | 71c | 1,846$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Tatjana Maria | 54c | 1,749$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Maria Sakkari | 25c | 1,713$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.86 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Maria Sakkari | 32c | 1,706$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Maria Sakkari | 48c | 1,688$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.32 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Tatjana Maria | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tatjana Maria | 69c | 1,614$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.76 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Maria Sakkari | 55c | 1,565$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.38 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Tatjana Maria | 46c | 1,530$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.22 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Tatjana Maria | 54c | 1,492$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Maria Sakkari | 1c | 1,456$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maria Sakkari | 24c | 1,444$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Maria Sakkari | 48c | 1,305$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.71 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Maria Sakkari | 49c | 1,303$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.33 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Maria Sakkari | 30c | 1,292$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Maria Sakkari | 17c | 1,279$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Tatjana Maria | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Tatjana Maria | 66c | 1,262$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.27 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tatjana Maria | 69c | 1,237$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Maria Sakkari | 31c | 1,236$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.31 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Maria Sakkari | 40c | 1,163$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Maria Sakkari | 26c | 1,084$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.07 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Tatjana Maria | 67c | 1,046$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.42 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Tatjana Maria | 49c | 1,033$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.02 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tatjana Maria | 65c | 1,018$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.95 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Maria Sakkari | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Maria Sakkari | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Maria Sakkari | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Maria Sakkari | 18c | 944.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Tatjana Maria | 44c | 909.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.59 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maria Sakkari | 54c | 901.01$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.55 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…6416backed Maria Sakkari | 23c | 900$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Maria Sakkari | 29c | 870.78$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Tatjana Maria | 47c | 848.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.78 | 872 | 37.2%324 W · 548 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tatjana Maria | 77c | 836.31$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 654 | 59%386 W · 268 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Tatjana Maria | 77c | 798.7$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Tatjana Maria | 52c | 726$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tatjana Maria | 52c | 715$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Tatjana Maria | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Maria Sakkari | 20c | 660.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Maria Sakkari | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Tatjana Maria | 70c | 581.07$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Maria Sakkari | 21c | 569.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tatjana Maria | 52c | 550.42$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Maria Sakkari | 49c | 518.24$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.94 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…fd7ebacked Tatjana Maria | 70c | 507.2$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Tatjana Maria | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 433 | 52.9%229 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Tatjana Maria | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 517 | 57.4%297 W · 220 L | +31.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Tatjana Maria | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 470 | 57.9%272 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Tatjana Maria | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 454 | 57%259 W · 195 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Tatjana Maria | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 506 | 55.5%281 W · 225 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maria Sakkari | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Tatjana Maria | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Tatjana Maria | 73c | 494.85$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tatjana Maria | 58c | 487.24$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Tatjana Maria | 75c | 477.14$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tatjana Maria | 68c | 464.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Tatjana Maria | 54c | 452.79$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sakkari vs MariaMaria won
- Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)Maria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.