TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe790…698c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT21046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Cincinnati Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$62.88
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.54
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.99
ITF Cordenons: Nuria Brancaccio vs Mia Risticbacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.94
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.89
ITF Amstetten: Vivian Wolff vs Alicia Herrero Linanabacked Alicia Herrero Linana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolfbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burelbacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$334.24
Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$510.21
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$605.9
ITF Denia: Hernan Casanova vs Carlos Lopez Montagudbacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.33
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.81
Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Mondaybacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.11
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.46
Tampere: Daniel Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.43
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthelbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.81
Livesport Prague Open: Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$243.02
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malyginabacked Elena Malygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.46
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.94
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$776.47
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT7652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.08
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.95
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.77
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.33
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.94
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$55.88
Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dandelions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$48.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.22
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$390.02
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,015.15
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.28
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$521.09
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46%+$226.36
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,351.08
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$936.73
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.06
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,222.22
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+379.9%+$1,139.71
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$451.69
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$154.66
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$692.78
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$378.95
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$442.27
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,671.94
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$218.44
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,649.79
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,475.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$471.7
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$52.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.