Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5412b2c49f4e1ac0455bd51a116efe0fd03543118a50911fd49097d8d7fad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof Iron Wing, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 47c | 65,726$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,726.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Yandex | 53c | 38,177$20,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,163.23 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing | 48c | 25,127$11,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,178.47 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 20,658$10,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,267.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 48c | 19,704$9,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.31 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 14,317$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,616.09 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Iron Wing | 47c | 12,705$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,761.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 40c | 11,448$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.72 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 10,078$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.84 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 49c | 9,963$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.66 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Yandex | 52c | 9,938$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.31 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 28c | 8,808$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.21 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex | 30c | 8,291$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 7,640$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.73 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Iron Wing | 49c | 6,538$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.02 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Yandex | 12c | 6,350$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.19 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Yandex | 44c | 5,625$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Iron Wing | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex | 40c | 4,820$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.88 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Iron Wing | 64c | 4,802$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.64 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Yandex | 46c | 4,754$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.68 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 4,268$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.59 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Iron Wing | 60c | 4,237$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.34 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Iron Wing | 69c | 3,900$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.63 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 52c | 3,798$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 3,585$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.45 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 3,373$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex | 51c | 3,349$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.99 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Yandex | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Team Yandex | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,855$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Iron Wing | 72c | 2,785$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.17 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex | 4c | 2,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,657$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.02 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Iron Wing | 77c | 2,600$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.27 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Iron Wing | 45c | 2,530$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 48c | 2,343$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Iron Wing | 47c | 2,333$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.49 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Yandex | 9c | 2,331$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Iron Wing | 55c | 2,323$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.92 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 17c | 2,295$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.22 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Yandex | 36c | 2,259$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.54 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Yandex | 51c | 2,142$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.26 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex | 9c | 2,139$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Team Yandex | 32c | 2,136$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.13 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Iron Wing | 50c | 2,002$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.96 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Iron Wing | 65c | 1,920$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed Iron Wing | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Iron Wing | 48c | 1,780$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Iron Wing | 46c | 1,696$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.93 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,680$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 1,680$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Iron Wing | 66c | 1,633$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.65 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,595$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.96 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Iron Wing | 47c | 1,532$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.96 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Yandex | 7c | 1,510$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Yandex | 39c | 1,503$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Iron Wing | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.03 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Iron Wing | 75c | 1,483$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,430$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.69 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,411$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.52 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Iron Wing | 61c | 1,399$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.51 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 1,388$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.37 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Iron Wing | 49c | 1,359$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.18 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Iron Wing | 70c | 1,344$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.28 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…f485backed Iron Wing | 45c | 1,295$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Iron Wing | 50c | 1,254$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Team Yandex | 46c | 1,251$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Yandex | 37c | 1,212$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.78 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…7ee8backed Team Yandex | 14c | 1,205$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Yandex | 25c | 1,191$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.27 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,173$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.69 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Iron Wing | 79c | 1,173$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Iron Wing | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Iron Wing | 68c | 1,154$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 1,140$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.89 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Iron Wing | 75c | 1,123$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Iron Wing | 66c | 1,074$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.16 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Yandex | 31c | 1,036$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.31 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Yandex | 38c | 999.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Iron Wing | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 21c | 923.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 916.72$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.36 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Iron Wing | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Team Yandex | 27c | 900$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Team Yandex | 33c | 869.61$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Iron Wing | 51c | 853.37$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.48 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.