Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0cf8c18167424c5e178e46b96c05d165642de4b937d66ea0c46ce138271ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof Iron Wing, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,009,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,100,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing | 50c | 110,052$55,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,001.38 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 45c | 77,235$35,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,134.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Yandex | 51c | 67,805$34,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,574.02 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,899.96 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 30,000$16,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,816.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 34c | 22,272$7,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,652.32 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 20,000$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 16,625$8,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.81 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…50b8backed Team Yandex | 35c | 16,149$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing | 57c | 15,846$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875.96 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 54c | 13,959$7,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,531.73 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 11,801$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.91 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 11,405$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex | 49c | 10,500$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Iron Wing | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Yandex | 33c | 10,456$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.33 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Yandex | 49c | 10,370$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Yandex | 56c | 9,888$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 9,517$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 8,792$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Iron Wing | 49c | 8,722$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex | 53c | 8,116$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.91 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Team Yandex | 54c | 8,071$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 44c | 7,518$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.6 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 7,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Yandex | 39c | 6,887$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Iron Wing | 60c | 6,849$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.37 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 6,348$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.91 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing | 46c | 6,059$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.7 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Team Yandex | 51c | 5,918$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Yandex | 49c | 5,900$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.07 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Yandex | 67c | 5,743$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.59 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 5,320$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.06 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Yandex | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed Iron Wing | 51c | 5,230$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.48 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Iron Wing | 62c | 4,659$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.17 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Yandex | 23c | 4,308$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.39 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 4,273$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.28 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Iron Wing | 52c | 4,027$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.77 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Yandex | 54c | 4,010$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.49 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Yandex | 48c | 4,000$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Yandex | 45c | 3,724$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Iron Wing | 44c | 3,637$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.73 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Iron Wing | 47c | 3,628$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.33 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex | 38c | 3,465$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.51 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Yandex | 32c | 3,400$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.7 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Team Yandex | 57c | 3,388$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Iron Wing | 74c | 3,348$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Iron Wing | 44c | 3,306$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Yandex | 46c | 3,234$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.39 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 3,217$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.05 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 3,182$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.97 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Yandex | 63c | 3,160$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.71 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Iron Wing | 22c | 3,154$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.92 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 3,031$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.96 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Yandex | 56c | 3,011$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.78 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Yandex | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.19 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Iron Wing | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 2,906$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.98 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,652$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Iron Wing | 45c | 2,632$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.93 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,555$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.47 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Iron Wing | 53c | 2,414$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.77 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Iron Wing | 58c | 2,405$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.35 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Iron Wing | 65c | 2,309$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Iron Wing | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 2,300$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.76 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 2,221$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.36 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Yandex | 55c | 2,172$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.6 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,115$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Yandex | 34c | 2,107$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.53 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Iron Wing | 53c | 2,100$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.28 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 2,032$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 48c | 2,020$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.15 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Team Yandex | 7c | 2,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…a298backed Team Yandex | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.83 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 1,999$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.32 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,979$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.3 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 1,901$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.46 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Iron Wing | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.99 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Iron Wing | 74c | 1,888$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.99 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Iron Wing | 59c | 1,863$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.39 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Team Yandex | 10c | 1,858$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4215backed Team Yandex | 18c | 1,856$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex | 31c | 1,839$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex | 32c | 1,814$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.02 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 1,803$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Yandex | 44c | 1,746$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.48 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Team Yandex | 18c | 1,711$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Iron Wing | 62c | 1,690$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Team Yandex | 45c | 1,664$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.05 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 1,645$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.29 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Iron Wing | 77c | 1,602$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.55 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Team Yandex | 39c | 1,554$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.67 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 1,543$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.33 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.