Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f9741108729c4c3b944c69919585343a931abb4a97c31a62ee53f2a5abe93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Iron Wing, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $873,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing | 55c | 115,384$64,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,004.96 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing | 57c | 68,453$39,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,254 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Team Yandex | 44c | 46,696$20,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,149.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 28c | 38,040$10,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,444.77 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Yandex | 46c | 19,970$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,783.69 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 47c | 17,752$8,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,469.94 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 17,590$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,828.98 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 49c | 16,851$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Yandex | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Yandex | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex | 49c | 11,499$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.88 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex | 68c | 7,399$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.97 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 69c | 7,218$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.19 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 6,916$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 6,773$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.58 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 6,453$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Iron Wing | 34c | 6,436$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Iron Wing | 50c | 6,075$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.73 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 5,189$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.12 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,807$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.74 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 4,703$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.65 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Yandex | 46c | 4,625$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.43 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Iron Wing | 52c | 4,246$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.39 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Iron Wing | 21c | 3,906$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.9 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Yandex | 78c | 3,767$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.04 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Iron Wing | 63c | 3,569$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.22 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Iron Wing | 50c | 3,417$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.75 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Iron Wing | 50c | 3,410$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.72 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 3,111$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.11 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Yandex | 39c | 2,995$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.41 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Iron Wing | 57c | 2,965$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.32 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Iron Wing | 46c | 2,900$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Yandex | 40c | 2,896$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.39 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed Team Yandex | 44c | 2,850$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Yandex | 70c | 2,850$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.9 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 2,826$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.53 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,780$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.09 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Yandex | 44c | 2,775$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Yandex | 72c | 2,472$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.08 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 2,453$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.7 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Yandex | 41c | 2,421$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Iron Wing | 2c | 2,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…ec88backed Iron Wing | 43c | 2,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Yandex | 41c | 2,323$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,247$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.75 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Iron Wing | 54c | 2,238$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.69 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 2,209$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.69 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 2,177$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.42 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,159$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.5 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Iron Wing | 14c | 2,135$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,120$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,020$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.69 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Iron Wing | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 1,971$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.58 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,890$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,839$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.05 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Iron Wing | 45c | 1,802$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.66 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 1,732$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.99 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,632$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Iron Wing | 46c | 1,510$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.76 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Iron Wing | 23c | 1,500$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Iron Wing | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +2,654.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Iron Wing | 70c | 1,497$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.96 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 1,487$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.44 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Iron Wing | 33c | 1,486$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Iron Wing | 58c | 1,454$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.11 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Iron Wing | 46c | 1,450$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Iron Wing | 31c | 1,436$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4215backed Iron Wing | 21c | 1,321$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Iron Wing | 25c | 1,302$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.62 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Iron Wing | 31c | 1,300$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Iron Wing | 34c | 1,264$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.41 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Yandex | 46c | 1,262$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.98 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Yandex | 51c | 1,241$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.09 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Iron Wing | 59c | 1,219$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.16 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,208$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.33 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Iron Wing | 60c | 1,205$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.7 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Yandex | 54c | 1,112$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 1,088$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.27 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 1,086$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.35 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,060$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,050$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,029$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.26 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Iron Wing | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Iron Wing | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Yandex | 45c | 965.33$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.98 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 963.68$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Iron Wing | 48c | 958.32$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Iron Wing | 54c | 956$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.24 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 936.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.19 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed Iron Wing | 54c | 932.29$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 925$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Yandex | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Iron Wing | 49c | 876.99$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.16 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.