TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96d7…3a17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,066.39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,869Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,431
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,830.59
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,799Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$1,941.58
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,487Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$1,468.86
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.48
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,737Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$2,652.93
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,484.44
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,926.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,556.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.6
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,132.1
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$357.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,725.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,394.24
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.28
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,107.23
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,856.28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,239.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,267
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,061.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,171.4
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$1,247.44
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,679.98
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,647
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,584Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,201.1
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,497
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,219.25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,130.24
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$2,093.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,375.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,069.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,621.01
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$1,374.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,335.61
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,045
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,081Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,295.72
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,668.29
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.54
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,699.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,439.88
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,589.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$1,088.83
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$719.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,699
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,859Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,365.61
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.1
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,722.39
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,745.15
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$437.68
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,661.14
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47%+$1,371.95
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,365.9
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$1,108.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,729.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.