MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4837fa04e80eca89bbdd033be4f80fe0aeb5eb92ef0187b802befaae6a1c87f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Minnesota Twins, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,259,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $989,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,259,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 322,146$77,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,767.27 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 247,887$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.17 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 160,824$91,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,154.3 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 160,734$68,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,293.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 120,288$91,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,670.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 101,041$58,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,437.41 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,799.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 36,943$27,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,890.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70e…219fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 28,660$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 22,000$12,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 20,100$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 20,008$13,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,076.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 18,952$14,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 18,750$11,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,687.5 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 17,313$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 15,117$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.31 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 14,587$11,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 11,205$7,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.3 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 10,509$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.12 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 6,552$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.72 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 5,970$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,832$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.83 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 3,740$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 3,383$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.09 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 3,291$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.86 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 3,126$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 3,047$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 3,013$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.25 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,678$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.66 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,407$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…0552backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,349$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,221$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,003$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.31 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 1,800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 1,602$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.81 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,500$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.03 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,191$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,170$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.23 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 913.98$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b0f0backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 870.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 862.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.37 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 854.6$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.48 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…adc6backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 846.15$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 821.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 789$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 779.61$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.88 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 759.29$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 732$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 728$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.78 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 725.77$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 689.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.27 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 627.32$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 610$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 536.81$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 534.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 528.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 488.3$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 468$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 458.26$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.63 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 455.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 449$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 434.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 431.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 399.41$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 386.09$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 385.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 334.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b8…4fa4backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…3b7fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 323.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 316.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.