MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd24021ba63231469b94b0af527ae8583502f4f37c25f12c2be7cd56d2e69065a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 47c | 147,735$70,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,590.72 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 58c | 98,687$57,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,536.59 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 61c | 51,702$31,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,163.64 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 45,846$21,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,755.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 29,075$15,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,087.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 15,020$6,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,852.2 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 60c | 12,952$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.6 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 11,905$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 11,221$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 10,648$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 57c | 7,410$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.27 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 41c | 4,005$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.92 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 43c | 3,434$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.63 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 3,152$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.37 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 42c | 3,108$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.75 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 2,488$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 2,439$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 42c | 2,188$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.33 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 33c | 1,931$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.23 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,887$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 1,170$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 1,155$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 1,136$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.76 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 56c | 1,109$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.3 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.95 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 43c | 1,057$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.58 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 860.45$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 39c | 709.32$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 687$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 54c | 645.15$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.26 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 59c | 633.39$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 628.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 620$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 601.69$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 40c | 525$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 523.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 41c | 493.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 41c | 479.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 54c | 460.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.33 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 51c | 451.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 441$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 407$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 396.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 390.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 5c | 377.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 40c | 365$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 18c | 358.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 41c | 349.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 21c | 329.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 63c | 317.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 295.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 225.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 55c | 224.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 54c | 201.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 173.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 58c | 168.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 157.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 155.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 45c | 151.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 149.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 58c | 140.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 133.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 131.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 126.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Over | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 120.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 55c | 108.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 44c | 104.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 63c | 102.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 52c | 99.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 38c | 99.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 43c | 91.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 27c | 88.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 86.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 33c | 84.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 35c | 64.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 44c | 61.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 43c | 61.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 58c | 61.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 41c | 60.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Over | 36c | 57.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 51c | 56.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Under | 58c | 51.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.