Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aedcb6693a08cf4d9642dec05c97c31afd57f30cf4350628925b7ff36535e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 50c | 148,704$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,704.42 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 25c | 50,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 32,450$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.99 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 30,792$11,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,723.87 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Spirit | 50c | 28,375$14,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,325.11 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 26,583$13,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,022.34 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 50c | 24,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879.95 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 17,820$13,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 16,141$8,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.24 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Liquid | 8c | 15,896$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.99 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Liquid | 49c | 15,795$7,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723.53 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 14,557$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 12,700$6,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 11,750$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.47 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 11,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Liquid | 57c | 10,291$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Liquid | 49c | 10,022$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Liquid | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 10,000$5,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,657.31 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Spirit | 48c | 8,259$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 32c | 8,202$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.64 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Liquid | 30c | 7,500$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.98 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,907$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.61 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Team Liquid | 13c | 6,097$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.63 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 5,807$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.53 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 5,750$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 5,664$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.4 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 5,444$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.74 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 4,888$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 4,876$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.71 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Liquid | 1c | 4,850$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid | 20c | 4,294$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.75 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…1e02backed Team Liquid | 49c | 4,145$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Liquid | 7c | 4,008$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.73 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,955$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.86 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 68c | 3,766$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.4 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 3,625$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.23 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,590$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.94 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Liquid | 17c | 3,500$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.26 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 3,285$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.84 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Liquid | 25c | 3,170$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.06 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid | 13c | 2,752$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.55 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 2,725$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.83 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 2,672$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.26 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Spirit | 47c | 2,661$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.41 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,603$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.62 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,537$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Team Liquid | 26c | 2,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 2,363$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.48 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,315$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.75 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,251$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.5 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,070$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…cc1abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 16c | 2,030$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,004$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.76 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,974$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,842$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,678$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,600$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,524$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.09 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,520$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,500$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.12 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Liquid | 13c | 1,500$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,430$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,394$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.61 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,360$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ba5fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,343$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,336$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,300$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.21 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 1,266$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.87 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Team Liquid | 17c | 1,248$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…f0aebacked Team Liquid | 10c | 1,210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Liquid | 11c | 1,200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,182$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.53 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Liquid | 15c | 1,135$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,112$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,108$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,099$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.92 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…2b2fbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed Team Liquid | 49c | 986.2$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.89 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Spirit | 66c | 956.78$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Liquid | 52c | 926.55$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.81 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 911.34$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 872.35$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.93 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.