TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,529,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,768,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,529,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 869 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit51c230,999$117,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,528.41,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed Team Liquid31c64,365$19,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,703.184050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit65c63,118$41,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,989.471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid54c50,000$26,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,975.1247646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid48c44,447$21,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,334.5323435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit73c29,495$21,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,072.7221155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid44c28,042$12,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,331.8232549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid58c26,064$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d36…f787backed Team Liquid48c22,500$10,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,774.971450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid50c21,788$10,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,887.6812348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid48c20,491$9,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,763.8131936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid29c20,303$5,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,867.1425446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.9936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid47c19,490$9,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.8569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked Team Spirit55c18,967$10,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.263951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Liquid16c18,020$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.39731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Team Liquid54c17,287$9,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,289.492676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x332b…af19backed Team Spirit75c16,610$12,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.391250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid47c16,571$7,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,788.224942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Team Spirit70c16,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.982955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid52c15,900$8,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,202.8780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit74c15,391$11,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.930667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid22c15,167$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.2150347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Spirit63c14,048$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,245.89339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit50c13,934$6,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967.031,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid16c11,525$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.5365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1896…a7d6backed Team Liquid46c11,445$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.513043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid25c10,275$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.1389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Team Liquid48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Spirit53c9,886$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.056050%30 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61a…708bbacked Team Spirit60c9,855$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.354151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6f…789bbacked Team Spirit52c9,504$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,564.474742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Spirit53c9,404$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.1711753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Spirit53c9,401$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,424.18348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Team Spirit69c8,800$6,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7285834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Spirit50c8,724$4,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.492955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid50c8,500$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25041056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Team Spirit78c8,101$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.64850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid10c7,832$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.2520030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Team Spirit64c7,533$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.82128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Liquid34c7,323$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.124255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit50c7,300$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,66656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid36c7,000$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.3837745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Liquid28c6,975$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.818950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid51c6,969$3,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,538.071,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit73c6,710$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.271,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Spirit72c6,619$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.3151049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit53c6,566$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.669556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit46c6,514$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.1219853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe522…cc1abacked Team Spirit53c6,225$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.892560%15 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid28c6,211$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.2350850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Spirit57c6,158$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.49658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…4f8abacked Team Liquid28c6,058$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.681650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid52c5,924$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.4336343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit66c5,907$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.4968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a5…db43backed Team Liquid26c5,797$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.67452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit71c5,514$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.6489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Spirit46c5,350$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.1810245.1%46 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Liquid52c5,331$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid48c5,315$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.4265647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Liquid3c5,250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid47c5,069$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.2941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit55c5,028$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.2812263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed Team Spirit49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5506241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9930452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d2…629cbacked Team Spirit50c4,912$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Team Spirit61c4,776$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.965572.7%40 W · 15 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e3a…130ebacked Team Liquid32c4,696$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.716349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b2…9f96backed Team Liquid33c4,615$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5018658.1%50 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Team Liquid32c4,582$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Spirit55c4,548$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.5917546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit65c4,545$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.0496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Spirit54c4,520$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.182766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit50c4,500$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.822663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16e…2b2fbacked Team Spirit77c4,381$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.521020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Spirit61c4,058$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.2428044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid47c4,056$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.127548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid51c3,827$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.8161456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid25c3,741$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.587055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3901…8f65backed Team Spirit77c3,728$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.463743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid28c3,701$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5135850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid54c3,681$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Liquid11c3,640$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.814825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Team Spirit52c3,300$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5843855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid50c3,285$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.5822853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Spirit48c3,216$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.6347650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Spirit49c3,086$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.7219456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid27c3,080$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.7953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Team Liquid16c3,000$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.569122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Team Spirit79c3,000$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.718143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid20c2,859$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1735758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid48c2,781$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.894656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked Team Liquid22c2,620$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.742259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Spirit74c2,595$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.7534051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Spirit79c2,548$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.617255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Team Liquid28c2,512$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.121043.8%92 W · 118 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Team Liquid20c2,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.996050%30 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid50c2,472$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.332441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.