Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbee14fd0690bb8490e24afc041c5860de197f76207a89073bfc13e5da67c852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $799,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,049,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 56c | 174,307$97,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Liquid | 44c | 40,700$17,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,792 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit | 36c | 40,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,599.97 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 24,009$10,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,324.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 22,001$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,102 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 21,900$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.98 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 19,100$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.99 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 66c | 18,998$12,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.96 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit | 37c | 18,289$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,836.07 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Spirit | 55c | 15,002$8,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,251.37 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 13,680$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.74 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 12,522$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 11,500$6,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525.89 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 45c | 10,719$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.93 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 44c | 9,287$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.86 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 9,250$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid | 43c | 8,900$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 8,347$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.81 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 44c | 8,091$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.13 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 19c | 7,944$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…a256backed Team Spirit | 15c | 7,926$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 7,632$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.7 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 7,482$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.15 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 7,424$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.24 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Team Liquid | 46c | 6,771$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 6,680$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Liquid | 60c | 6,500$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 14c | 6,060$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.42 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Spirit | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid | 80c | 5,641$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.55 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 5,572$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.36 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit | 22c | 5,508$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.36 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,332$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,061$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.4 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 5,000$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.73 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Spirit | 35c | 4,931$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Spirit | 47c | 4,600$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,320$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.1 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,289$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.67 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 70c | 4,118$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.57 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 53c | 3,966$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.97 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,819$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.12 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 12c | 3,711$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 3,663$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.24 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.89 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 3,459$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.02 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 3,410$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.6 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 62c | 3,115$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.04 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed Team Liquid | 75c | 3,044$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,886$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.12 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,862$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.1 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…cc1abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,825$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,821$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,791$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,777$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.98 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,553$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.73 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,540$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.7 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,539$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.71 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Team Liquid | 44c | 2,400$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,357$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.64 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,343$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.69 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,270$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 2,257$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.41 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,234$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.78 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,149$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.22 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,051$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.18 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…0ca5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,015$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,007$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.55 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Spirit | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…e588backed Team Liquid | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,944$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.52 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…d335backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,793$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.68 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,646$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.37 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,600$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,600$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,600$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,593$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.27 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,506$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.12 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,445$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,410$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.91 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,368$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,365$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.4 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,356$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…4613backed Team Spirit | 22c | 1,322$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,303$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.78 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Spirit | 13c | 1,300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Spirit | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 1,292$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.78 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.