TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1305…46d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20,536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$11,690.9
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,412
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,704
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,502
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,188
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,364
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,375.97
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,800
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$2,106
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3,013
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,016
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$3,543.49
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,395
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,526.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,050
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,653.23
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$4,256.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,184
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,920
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.19
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,520
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016.06
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$534.25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,911Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,727.66
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,400
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,879.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4,799.98
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,526Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4,049.57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,997.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,099.98
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,966.59
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$9,690
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,599.99
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,059.99
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$2,160
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$5,000
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,519.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,792Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,008
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$3,671.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,519
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42%+$1,478.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$432
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$523.46
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,795Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,253.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$458.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$449.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,435
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,209.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$562.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$682.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$726.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$351
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$929.98
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4,069.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,902.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,845Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,257.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$734.97
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$715.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$438
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$151.7
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$477.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$205.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$78.1
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$68.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$193.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,483.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.