Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3526e739b1caf030fd39845f7182fcfbbb8bd1839120033ed29345e9a8b1c87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,213,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,235,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,213,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 62c | 122,822$76,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 38c | 116,082$44,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,970.76 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 37c | 83,928$30,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,032.84 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 52,582$19,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,456.51 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 50,795$21,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,855.21 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 63c | 46,666$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.57 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 73c | 31,231$22,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,904.84 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 30,085$20,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,282.87 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 23,786$9,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,110.21 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 29c | 23,627$6,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,729.12 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 20,055$10,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,361.59 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 20,000$14,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.37 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 20,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.95 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 17,758$8,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,653.87 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 17,635$11,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.46 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 16,500$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,064.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 14,603$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.23 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 35c | 14,350$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,324.51 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 14,125$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,592.11 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 14,037$8,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,135.39 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 14,037$6,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,296.43 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 14,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.89 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 13,554$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid | 38c | 13,365$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,286.29 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 11,600$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.98 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 73c | 10,424$7,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,647.89 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Liquid | 40c | 10,247$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.38 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 10,017$6,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Liquid | 37c | 9,900$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Team Liquid | 21c | 9,709$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,675.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Team Liquid | 32c | 9,238$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Team Falcons | 65c | 9,226$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 35c | 9,226$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.22 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 39c | 8,851$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.15 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Team Falcons | 62c | 8,465$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 40c | 8,341$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.64 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Falcons | 62c | 7,880$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.79 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 7,287$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,483.77 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 6,782$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.99 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 6,721$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.37 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 6,600$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 6,478$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.41 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 6,474$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 6,276$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.38 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 6,189$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.74 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Team Liquid | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.4 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 5,917$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.06 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 79c | 5,752$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.65 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 57c | 5,714$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.93 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Falcons | 69c | 5,424$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.04 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 39c | 5,124$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.86 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Liquid | 40c | 4,999$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.74 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 4,950$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.23 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Team Falcons | 67c | 4,948$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.8wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 4,900$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Liquid | 28c | 4,844$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.12 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 80c | 4,758$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.49 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 4,593$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.15 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 4,574$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 4,535$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 4,088$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.68 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 38c | 3,869$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.01 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 39c | 3,733$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.84 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,708$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.6 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 3,696$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.24 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,545$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.08 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 3,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 32c | 3,308$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.51 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 3,062$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.61 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 3,022$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…a3c2backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,978$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 20c | 2,891$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.1 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 2,890$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.32 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Liquid | 18c | 2,853$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.88 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,806$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.47 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,726$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.53 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Team Falcons | 2c | 2,652$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,647$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.52 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Liquid | 21c | 2,640$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.6 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 2,632$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,600$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.52 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,475$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,472$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.81 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,436$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.77 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 41c | 2,418$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.05 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,383$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.82 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,339$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 2,308$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.31 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,301$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.51 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 2,278$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.38 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,258$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.22 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 2,250$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 2,071$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.65 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,053$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.1 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,000$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.77 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.