Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba2acfcbd1998eba588db39af8e7549a36835cd64e1d7e25f5748744267d04d7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,582,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,598,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,582,345 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid	38c	1,665,162$636,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029,029.61	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons	63c	800,439$501,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501,822.48	122	59.8%73 W · 49 L	+11.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Falcons	64c	186,000$118,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,534.22	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Team Falcons	55c	129,331$70,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,596.61	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid	33c	77,289$25,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,113.29	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons	27c	74,786$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid	26c	70,421$18,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,280.33	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons	50c	63,675$31,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,692.81	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons	54c	63,022$34,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,020.87	139	60.4%84 W · 55 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Falcons	52c	43,000$22,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,360	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons	76c	40,812$31,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,017.29	159	51.6%82 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Team Falcons	63c	33,759$21,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,199.31	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team Falcons	57c	33,044$18,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,765.89	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid	44c	32,222$14,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,022.1	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid	44c	32,016$13,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,061.72	325	49.8%162 W · 163 L	+23.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Liquid	24c	27,764$6,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,120.96	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Team Falcons	52c	26,342$13,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,628.52	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Team Falcons	58c	25,000$14,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,500	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Team Falcons	52c	25,000$13,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,050	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons	60c	20,200$12,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,178.24	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Team Liquid	45c	20,000$9,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,950.16	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons	64c	18,789$11,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,998.54	583	46.3%270 W · 313 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd690…47febacked Team Falcons	52c	17,500$9,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed Team Falcons	61c	16,892$10,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,321.2	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ffc…3dd9backed Team Falcons	65c	15,000$9,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,750.01	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons	69c	15,000$10,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,401.08	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Team Falcons	60c	14,850$8,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,910	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons	75c	13,878$10,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,402.15	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Falcons	58c	13,728$7,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,930.69	565	45%254 W · 311 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons	65c	13,487$8,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,818.81	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf796…de54backed Team Falcons	76c	13,222$10,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,017.31	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Falcons	60c	12,516$7,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,506.95	436	49.1%214 W · 222 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons	62c	12,101$7,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,473.11	1,113	36.2%403 W · 710 L	-37.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons	64c	11,543$7,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,387.22	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Team Falcons	55c	11,220$6,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,127.29	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Team Falcons	55c	10,723$5,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,871.56	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Team Falcons	62c	9,829$6,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,066	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Team Falcons	63c	9,196$5,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,773.5	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid	74c	8,891$6,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,311.55	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Liquid	24c	8,360$2,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,353.89	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-16.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Team Liquid	45c	8,100$3,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,455	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons	61c	7,971$4,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,841.97	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons	64c	7,190$4,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,629.03	263	51%134 W · 129 L	+13.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons	58c	7,139$4,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,139.69	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons	75c	7,000$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250.24	348	60.1%209 W · 139 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Falcons	75c	6,504$4,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,852.23	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+5.4wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid	25c	6,183$1,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,637.57	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons	77c	6,000$4,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,616	119	53.8%64 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons	58c	5,576$3,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,261.5	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons	67c	5,442$3,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,633.02	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6729…f17dbacked Team Liquid	45c	5,415$2,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,977.35	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Team Falcons	54c	5,354$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons	58c	5,300$3,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,087	591	54%319 W · 272 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons	53c	5,090$2,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,697.7	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Team Liquid	75c	5,005$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,254.66	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.24per pick	65cpaid	+35%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons	37c	5,000$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840	378	11.1%42 W · 336 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid	40c	4,991$1,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,996.75	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c8…a3c2backed Team Falcons	60c	4,667$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid	24c	4,560$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,472.27	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Falcons	52c	4,426$2,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,301.38	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Liquid	25c	4,056$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,055.65	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Team Falcons	39c	4,022$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.28	124	47.6%59 W · 65 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Liquid	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	104	37.5%39 W · 65 L	-9.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons	76c	3,947$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	291	60.1%175 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…789bbacked Team Falcons	73c	3,916$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons	76c	3,894$2,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,975.88	183	51.9%95 W · 88 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons	77c	3,847$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944.06	503	47.1%237 W · 266 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Falcons	51c	3,761$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.74	276	36.2%100 W · 176 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Team Liquid	22c	3,633$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,847.71	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Falcons	68c	3,481$2,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.7	473	48.2%228 W · 245 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Team Falcons	62c	3,456$2,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.56	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons	53c	3,400$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802	410	42.4%174 W · 236 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Team Falcons	45c	3,338$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Team Falcons	60c	3,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	146	46.6%68 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid	44c	3,213$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,790.68	268	43.7%117 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed Team Falcons	68c	3,108$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.07	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-4.8wins	-0.48per pick	68cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Falcons	45c	2,987$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.18	878	38.3%336 W · 542 L	-42.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Falcons	61c	2,900$1,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Team Liquid	74c	2,817$2,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.33	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons	75c	2,670$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.5	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Team Falcons	60c	2,640$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,584	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Team Falcons	78c	2,564$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.88	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe341…354dbacked Team Falcons	76c	2,412$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,832.9	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+5.8wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+33%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Team Falcons	61c	2,394$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.44	385	47.5%183 W · 202 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Team Falcons	59c	2,350$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.5	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons	74c	2,150$1,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,591	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked Team Falcons	59c	2,105$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239.19	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Team Falcons	60c	2,100$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-8.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Team Liquid	25c	2,068$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Team Liquid	69c	2,028$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.04	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons	55c	2,000$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.11	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Team Liquid	49c	2,000$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde27…d27cbacked Team Falcons	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.24per pick	55cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Falcons	76c	1,974$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	216	50.9%110 W · 106 L	-25.3wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons	57c	1,890$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.77	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Falcons	65c	1,835$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.4	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Falcons	59c	1,800$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Liquid	44c	1,777$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.92	301	55.5%167 W · 134 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Team Falcons	55c	1,750$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.73	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Game Handicap: FLC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event