Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a0dc55a1bce55cc81d4b2fcac6959235452213e4757865d0436495397b3aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,089,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,319,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,089,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 36c | 187,137$66,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,583.45 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 66c | 83,450$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 65,644$42,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,654.71 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 48,051$27,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,204.66 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 68c | 33,333$22,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,661.11 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 31,338$16,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,299.18 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 62c | 30,537$18,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,672.39 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 23,200$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,080 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 35c | 21,359$7,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,777.55 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 21,106$14,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.26 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 37c | 20,540$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,859.87 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 15,000$9,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,160.95 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 14,500$9,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,425 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 14,101$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,081.27 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Team Falcons | 65c | 14,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 13,277$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,775.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 11,300$7,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230.98 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 10,736$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.97 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 10,662$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.62 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 10,004$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.11 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 42c | 9,035$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.2 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 59c | 8,968$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.13 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Falcons | 52c | 8,589$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 8,544$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.72 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Falcons | 65c | 7,518$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.92 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Team Falcons | 30c | 7,198$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 6,797$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.19 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 40c | 6,792$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.02 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid | 67c | 6,788$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.94 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 76c | 6,700$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.55 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 55c | 6,444$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.04 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 6,135$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.98 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Liquid | 48c | 6,085$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Liquid | 36c | 6,005$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 44c | 5,801$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 5,705$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.77 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 35c | 5,702$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.42 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 5,515$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.93 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 5,338$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.63 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 62c | 4,869$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.39 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 4,767$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.49 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Team Liquid | 39c | 4,338$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 58c | 4,308$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 4,288$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.96 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 4,000$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.65 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 36c | 3,736$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.94 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 3,692$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.36 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid | 35c | 3,622$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.03 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 3,452$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.78 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,449$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.22 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 3,340$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.48 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 3,224$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.45 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 3,201$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.32 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 3,180$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 3,133$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.95 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,114$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.21 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 3,020$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,835$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.59 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,784$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.39 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,582$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.83 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,400$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 36c | 2,342$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.78 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…a3c2backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,269$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,261$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.56 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 33c | 2,187$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,183$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.07 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,132$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.97 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,125$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,048$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.95 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,043$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,000$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,000$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.15 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,891$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,888$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.66 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,739$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.89 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,672$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.82 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,656$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,622$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.86 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,580$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.15 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,551$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.32 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,542$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.67 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,514$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.41 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,501$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.02 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,500$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.91 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,482$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.55 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,478$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.