Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1f7b75aa1bda0ec4c8ec9657940b9074098be3d56a35967f3677c166e05f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,017,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,448,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,017,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 68c | 83,707$57,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,144.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 65c | 48,746$31,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,913.16 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 42,631$15,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,012.41 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 38,462$14,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,735.79 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 70c | 38,411$26,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,883.12 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 31c | 31,561$9,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,934.28 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 62c | 27,990$17,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,243.02 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 34c | 25,818$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,129.75 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 32c | 23,574$7,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,030.1 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid | 31c | 22,966$7,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,823.55 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 27c | 20,009$5,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,589.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Team Falcons | 65c | 18,396$11,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,957.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 17,844$12,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,306.12 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 53c | 17,003$9,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,965.53 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 16,964$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,185.25 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 32c | 16,739$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,306.73 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 16,268$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.51 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 15,000$7,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.62 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 22c | 14,829$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.24 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 11,529$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 10,779$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.14 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 10,740$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 32c | 10,500$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,175 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 10,153$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.79 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Liquid | 49c | 9,368$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 9,076$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,259.95 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 66c | 8,927$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.86 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 8,835$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.41 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 52c | 8,605$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.77 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 8,258$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.55 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 8,131$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 8,015$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.62 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 34c | 7,900$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.82 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 7,623$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.32 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 7,435$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.61 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 7,367$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.58 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid | 49c | 7,173$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.44 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 7,127$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.26 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 7,125$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.18 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Team Liquid | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Falcons | 41c | 7,000$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.91 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 6,924$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,828$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.16 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 33c | 6,048$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.87 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,010$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.59 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Team Liquid | 55c | 6,000$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Team Liquid | 34c | 5,996$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 30c | 5,920$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.39 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Liquid | 34c | 5,825$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.84 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 5,700$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 31c | 5,574$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.63 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 61c | 5,463$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.73 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Liquid | 36c | 5,408$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.41 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Falcons | 80c | 5,387$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.09 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 5,204$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 29c | 4,905$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.58 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 31c | 4,868$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.28 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 4,647$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.31 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 4,629$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.58 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 63c | 4,595$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.28 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,555$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.39 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Liquid | 31c | 4,440$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Team Falcons | 73c | 4,054$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.56 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Falcons | 50c | 3,879$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.57 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 3,727$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.79 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,714$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.08 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 31c | 3,700$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,670$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.2 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,600$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,586$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.78 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,512$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.8 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Team Falcons | 2c | 3,467$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,255$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.7 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,106$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.48 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Team Falcons | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Team Falcons | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Liquid | 32c | 2,998$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.05 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Team Liquid | 30c | 2,956$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,929$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,928$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,729$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.92 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,707$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.6 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 31c | 2,700$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,674$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.99 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,622$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.69 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,609$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.04 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 2,602$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.88 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Team Falcons | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,560$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.13 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,549$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.88 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,456$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.93 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,426$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,337$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.42 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,335$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.21 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 2,328$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.05 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.