TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe341…354d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$138.08
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$616
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$256
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$404.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$821.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$225.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.34
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$30.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.29
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$55.03
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$155.48
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$85.47
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$428.65
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$92.37
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$575.41
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$484.7
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.11
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$598.7
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.08
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$653
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$669.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$86.77
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.91
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.89
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$228.78
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.64
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,832.9
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,092.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$540.43
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,590.06
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.32
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$240.63
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.18
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$99.45
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$90.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$126.94
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$210.64
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.11
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.46
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.