Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0b3d03b76bface1b4bf453d9532bbad2ef64be1b3bad173645903e7d068578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof LGD Gaming, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 20,211$13,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,743.17 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 19,554$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,296.75 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 18,606$11,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.41 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 18,319$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.19 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 17,148$10,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.17 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 15,429$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,635.83 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 15,133$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,286.51 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 13,800$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.77 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed LGD Gaming | 29c | 13,675$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.61 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 13,147$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 12,314$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.14 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 11,689$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.06 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…8a18backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 11,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,149.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 10,148$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.44 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 10,000$7,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,271.41 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 8,980$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.42 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 8,521$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.35 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 8,443$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.56 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 8,064$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 7,692$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.9 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 7,592$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.85 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 7,559$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.87 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 7,354$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.33 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 7,100$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 6,422$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 6,241$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.71 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 6,000$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.59 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 5,511$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.98 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 5,090$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.71 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LGD Gaming | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 4,950$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.09 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 4,923$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 4,845$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.44 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 4,347$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.69 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 4,286$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.7 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 4,190$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.23 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,800$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 3,750$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.18 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 3,444$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.42 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 3,259$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.73 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LGD Gaming | 29c | 3,204$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.97 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 3,165$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.33 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 3,109$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.26 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 3,100$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.26 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.94 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 2,816$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.72 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,809$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.33 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.98 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 2,155$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.67 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,076$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.82 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,050$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 2,043$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.95 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed LGD Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,949$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.92 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,891$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.69 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 1,795$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.67 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,733$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.46 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,718$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,700$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,691$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.33 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,664$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.08 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,631$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.97 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LGD Gaming | 26c | 1,577$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.13 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,500$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.51 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,487$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.78 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,479$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.18 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,437$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.14 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,437$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,270$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.8 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,252$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.27 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,250$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.47 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,234$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.89 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,233$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.42 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,226$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.83 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,200$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,174$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.01 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,143$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.15 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 1,123$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,120$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.92 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,115$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.46 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,100$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,098$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.64 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,038$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.96 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,014$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.27 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,012$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed LGD Gaming | 25c | 1,007$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 999.99$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 999.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 979.51$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.5 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 953.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.79 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.