Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f7ddd6d51322d67e91c88980da493915f658ce95aca915ef3b5063edcd51c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f8a…8a18backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 31,500$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 27,332$9,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,942.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 27,010$16,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,602 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 22,214$15,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 18,109$11,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.74 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 17,016$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.6 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 15,819$7,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,036.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 14,468$6,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,244.42 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 13,283$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.12 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 8,888$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.15 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 7,750$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.22 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 6,520$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 4,817$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.68 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 4,658$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 4,500$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.99 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 4,216$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.95 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 4,181$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 3,915$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.69 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 3,648$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.09 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 3,609$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.89 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 3,431$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.71 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 3,248$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 3,198$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.51 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…2dadbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 2,964$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.1 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 2,719$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.98 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,536$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.65 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 2,417$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 2,410$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.26 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 2,368$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.93 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 2,298$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 2,203$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.05 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,156$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.58 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,057$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,030$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.42 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 2,027$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,021$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.01 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,781$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,773$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.59 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,655$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.61 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 1,649$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,571$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.04 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,565$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.13 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,553$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,503$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,484$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,462$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.73 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…79b6backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,420$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,360$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.04 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,326$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,294$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,293$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.04 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,291$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked LGD Gaming | 11c | 1,281$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.09 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,250$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,222$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.1 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,212$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.33 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,197$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.58 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,163$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.41 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,141$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.3 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,135$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,097$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.17 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,084$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.05 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 1,054$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.68 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.36 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed LGD Gaming | 29c | 962.85$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.84 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 947.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 911$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.52 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 862.86$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 861$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 801.87$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.66 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 778.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 756.67$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.35 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 750$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 749.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 739.7$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.68 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 725$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 709.3$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 666.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 633.77$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.79 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 620.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 620.26$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 611.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 598.61$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 574.35$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.45 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 572.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 556.65$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 527.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 519.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.19 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 510$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 506$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3b8cbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 505$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.