Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10881e1e2b2b1e998ab2dad3a1fd697b897551d6b325f62e9a34477ce18f631a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof L1ga Team, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 9,291$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.27 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 79c | 9,278$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.86 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 11c | 8,359$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.7 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 7,135$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 14c | 5,514$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 77c | 4,835$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.02 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team | 10c | 3,694$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 80c | 3,407$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.32 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 3,378$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.72 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed L1ga Team | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,793$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.1 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 16c | 2,568$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,332$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.38 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,300$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team | 8c | 2,227$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,188$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,956$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,880$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 13c | 1,737$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 77c | 1,574$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked L1ga Team | 21c | 1,574$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed L1ga Team | 21c | 1,550$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 24c | 1,543$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 16c | 1,495$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed L1ga Team | 15c | 1,452$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,400$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,398$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.37 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked L1ga Team | 18c | 1,376$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed L1ga Team | 22c | 1,311$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 13c | 1,250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed L1ga Team | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,189$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed L1ga Team | 13c | 1,173$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,096$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed L1ga Team | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed L1ga Team | 23c | 975.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 13c | 967.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed L1ga Team | 24c | 895.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 806.23$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed L1ga Team | 21c | 776$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed L1ga Team | 25c | 767.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked L1ga Team | 18c | 715$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 641.26$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 599.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed L1ga Team | 21c | 595.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed L1ga Team | 13c | 594.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed L1ga Team | 25c | 552$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked L1ga Team | 5c | 550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked L1ga Team | 14c | 523$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Liquid | 79c | 503.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Team Liquid | 75c | 500.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed L1ga Team | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked L1ga Team | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid | 80c | 496.28$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed L1ga Team | 22c | 462.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked L1ga Team | 15c | 440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 22c | 434.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 401.24$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 349.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 311.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Team Liquid | 79c | 310.13$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Team Liquid | 79c | 262.49$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Team Liquid | 78c | 259.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Team Liquid | 78c | 256.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Team Liquid | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed L1ga Team | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 76c | 241.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 240$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 75c | 226.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Liquid | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed L1ga Team | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked L1ga Team | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team Liquid | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed L1ga Team | 25c | 182.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Liquid | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Team Liquid | 78c | 143.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked L1ga Team | 8c | 142.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid | 79c | 132.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 16c | 123.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed L1ga Team | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked L1ga Team | 16c | 119.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 79c | 109.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed L1ga Team | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed L1ga Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed L1ga Team | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed L1ga Team | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 87.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked L1ga Team | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c81…b51cbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.