Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7664d545626cce2926008f88cf77c53e705c817404ada24e31d638e4031c8645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof L1ga Team, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 32,653$6,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.18 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 77c | 24,230$18,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.45 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 22,502$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.88 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 77c | 22,117$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.21 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 20,819$16,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.58 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 19c | 20,083$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.26 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked L1ga Team | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed L1ga Team | 23c | 14,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 15c | 7,824$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 5,884$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.77 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed L1ga Team | 22c | 5,799$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed L1ga Team | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 4,930$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 77c | 3,894$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.79 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed L1ga Team | 21c | 3,698$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.73 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Team Liquid | 79c | 3,002$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.15 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Team Liquid | 78c | 3,000$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed L1ga Team | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 2,884$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed L1ga Team | 22c | 2,637$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,636$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.17 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 2,600$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team | 21c | 2,352$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 79c | 2,347$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.43 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 22c | 2,295$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.19 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team | 19c | 2,200$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 2,145$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.67 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,042$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.54 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed L1ga Team | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed L1ga Team | 13c | 1,716$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked L1ga Team | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,564$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.45 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,380$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,372$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.37 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,273$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.08 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed L1ga Team | 23c | 1,217$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,197$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,096$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 21c | 1,087$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed L1ga Team | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed L1ga Team | 23c | 976$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked L1ga Team | 21c | 918$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 915$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed L1ga Team | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 900$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed L1ga Team | 20c | 899.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 857.96$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 817.03$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Liquid | 78c | 754.63$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 17c | 726$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 678.62$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked L1ga Team | 16c | 673.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked L1ga Team | 20c | 650$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Liquid | 78c | 637.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Team Liquid | 78c | 628.77$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed L1ga Team | 26c | 576.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed L1ga Team | 20c | 568.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Team Liquid | 80c | 568.75$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed L1ga Team | 19c | 563.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked L1ga Team | 21c | 560.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed L1ga Team | 21c | 550.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Liquid | 77c | 536.28$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked L1ga Team | 23c | 526.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Liquid | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 516.74$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Team Liquid | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed L1ga Team | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Liquid | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Team Liquid | 79c | 491.59$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Liquid | 77c | 440$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Team Liquid | 78c | 426.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked L1ga Team | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 378$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 374$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed L1ga Team | 16c | 368.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Liquid | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 350$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Team Liquid | 76c | 350$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 349.1$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 22c | 342.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked L1ga Team | 18c | 341.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed L1ga Team | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid | 79c | 320$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked L1ga Team | 5c | 310.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Team Liquid | 77c | 265.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 255.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed L1ga Team | 21c | 255.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Liquid | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Liquid | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.