Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead612ac2626f7004cc52bd266ecf846dd1e12d35f9dfb596211694b37591b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof L1ga Team, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 2,785$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.09 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed L1ga Team | 25c | 2,374$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 1,656$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…12eabacked L1ga Team | 26c | 615.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked L1ga Team | 4c | 599.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed L1ga Team | 8c | 557.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Liquid | 75c | 423.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed L1ga Team | 15c | 372.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed L1ga Team | 9c | 290.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed L1ga Team | 10c | 280.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed L1ga Team | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 21c | 155.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 21c | 154$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…561ebacked L1ga Team | 14c | 143.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Team Liquid | 75c | 129.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…1634backed Team Liquid | 75c | 129.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed L1ga Team | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 83.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed L1ga Team | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked L1ga Team | 27c | 70.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Liquid | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Team Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Team Liquid | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Team Liquid | 80c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed Team Liquid | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Liquid | 75c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Team Liquid | 74c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.