TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2355…4869

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10552.4%55 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.86
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$58.67
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$18.12
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.35
Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked NS Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$89.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$90.92
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$79.17
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$43.31
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$117.72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Abacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$62.03
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$55.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.97
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5030%15 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541.2%+$503.36
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$64.55
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.26
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$79.82
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$92.23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$99
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$212.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.