Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd304b890543023685a46aacbe824e43675f371af7c1091ecf5f3f04c9b59bae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Team Falcons, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Falcons | 78c | 95,624$74,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,404.15 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 46,499$25,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,243.88 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 22c | 34,778$7,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,127.15 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 22c | 25,000$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,502.41 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 53c | 17,298$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,197.8 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 55c | 14,537$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 26c | 14,234$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,476.83 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed OG | 49c | 13,168$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.8 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed OG | 22c | 12,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 80c | 11,495$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.92 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 22c | 10,471$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.27 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed OG | 28c | 10,441$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,567.11 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 42c | 8,784$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.58 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 49c | 8,044$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.03 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 6,412$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.68 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed OG | 59c | 6,131$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.1 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 28c | 5,855$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.72 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 22c | 4,862$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.53 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons | 75c | 4,553$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.41 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 26c | 4,005$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.2 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 3,885$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.82 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 49c | 3,863$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.03 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 24c | 3,605$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.96 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 26c | 3,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,500$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.98 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,377$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed OG | 23c | 3,311$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.83 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed OG | 28c | 3,241$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.31 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 34c | 3,000$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 37c | 2,750$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.49 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 19c | 2,698$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.13 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked OG | 49c | 2,525$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.4 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed OG | 52c | 2,430$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.05 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked OG | 25c | 2,419$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.55 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 22c | 2,392$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.45 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 31c | 2,173$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.89 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 26c | 2,065$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.78 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…a72fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 2,025$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,002$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.42 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked OG | 37c | 1,803$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.73 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 28c | 1,754$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.82 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 74c | 1,683$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.7 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,644$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.59 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed OG | 38c | 1,636$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.18 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 24c | 1,517$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.74 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed OG | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,477$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.55 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed OG | 49c | 1,442$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.67 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 34c | 1,411$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.89 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,401$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,400$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.41 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,301$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,258$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.32 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 24c | 1,233$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 1,155$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.05 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 26c | 1,117$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.85 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 26c | 1,110$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.63 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 32c | 1,080$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.93 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,061$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.03 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,051$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.88 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked OG | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 22c | 999.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 988.75$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.13 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked OG | 39c | 979.09$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.21 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed OG | 54c | 933.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.73 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG | 26c | 925.4$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.67 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed OG | 32c | 899.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.02 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed OG | 26c | 852.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 23c | 842.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.88 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed OG | 60c | 837.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.67 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 799.99$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed OG | 27c | 799.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed OG | 50c | 757.01$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Team Falcons | 54c | 726.11$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 718.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 715.92$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.64 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked OG | 40c | 694.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.83 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed OG | 70c | 693.24$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed OG | 52c | 675.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 62c | 655.71$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.67 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Falcons | 5c | 652.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed OG | 48c | 628.57$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.57 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 625.26$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.39 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed OG | 30c | 624.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.44 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed OG | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed OG | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 38c | 551.85$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Falcons | 72c | 500$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed OG | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed OG | 44c | 475.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.01 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked OG | 27c | 443.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.21 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed OG | 26c | 440$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.37 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked OG | 28c | 424.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.