Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad0ca814ce3ffdef19bda7edb8dc61978471a2ef471298787680c6cb0ed5797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Team Falcons, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 25c | 59,909$15,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,715.66 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed OG | 26c | 25,099$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,573.17 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 75c | 18,004$13,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,442.7 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 26c | 15,506$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,506.01 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 74c | 14,865$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 23c | 14,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,780.09 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 14,000$9,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked OG | 32c | 10,572$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.92 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 27c | 8,846$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.43 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed OG | 46c | 6,994$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.38 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 21c | 6,329$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.41 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed OG | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Team Falcons | 8c | 5,942$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.07 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked OG | 15c | 5,307$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.8 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 72c | 4,853$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.93 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 4,800$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.86 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 54c | 4,471$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.4 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 77c | 4,319$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.51 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 4,259$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.49 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 73c | 3,838$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.74 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 3,782$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,278$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.23 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked OG | 46c | 3,264$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.92 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 72c | 3,172$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.36 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 40c | 3,171$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.75 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 44c | 3,001$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.28 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.98 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 77c | 2,512$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.03 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 2,399$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.97 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,204$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.2 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,200$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed OG | 45c | 2,139$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.74 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 24c | 2,052$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.78 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 30c | 1,832$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.73 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,827$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.54 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,759$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.38 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 28c | 1,753$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.98 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed OG | 2c | 1,664$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.19 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,657$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.34 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,603$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,569$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.9 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Team Falcons | 1c | 1,543$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked OG | 55c | 1,506$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.14 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,466$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.75 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,418$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.31 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,402$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.53 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 38c | 1,393$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.16 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed OG | 24c | 1,346$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.67 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 17c | 1,300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.6 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,294$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.57 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked OG | 23c | 1,285$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.56 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,224$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.37 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed OG | 65c | 1,167$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.13 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed OG | 18c | 1,143$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.71 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked OG | 5c | 1,137$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.55 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,135$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.9 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,038$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 18c | 1,024$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.92 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed OG | 52c | 1,000$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.13 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 28c | 953.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.63 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed OG | 73c | 950.24$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed OG | 34c | 910.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.46 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 905.11$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.23 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed OG | 15c | 900$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 896.04$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.96 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 74c | 892.91$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.75 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed OG | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed OG | 62c | 797.75$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.27 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 788.83$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.13 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed OG | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed OG | 17c | 730.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.04 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed OG | 28c | 726.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.22 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 29c | 722.87$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.28 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 76c | 722.5$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.7 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 46c | 705.28$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked OG | 31c | 659.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.08 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 644.07$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Team Falcons | 45c | 628.05$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 17c | 601.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Falcons | 68c | 584.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Falcons | 70c | 574.62$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.23 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed Team Falcons | 79c | 569.31$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.04 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 41c | 569.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.01 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed OG | 46c | 530.55$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed OG | 32c | 521.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.74 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 516.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 34c | 500$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.35 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed OG | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.1 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed OG | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed OG | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed OG | 35c | 494.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 26c | 441.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.6 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 415.94$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed OG | 20c | 387.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 35c | 380.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.78 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.