TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf072…d897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT12246.7%57 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$116.09
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.75
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.71
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$214.2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.52
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$527.88
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$358.36
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$147.36
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$267.89
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$324.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$496.89
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+82%+$246
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$358.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$229.71
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$111.49
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$78.95
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.05
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$138.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$77.35
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$57.91
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.