Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb798685a9f6db0e7ab5d456a1c53fd3e2d904d5d6e80c5a21cbe974e365e5a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof FTS, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 48c | 28,305$13,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,650.47 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked FTS | 37c | 14,339$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.06 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed FTS | 43c | 5,857$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.98 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked FTS | 40c | 5,693$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PuckChamp | 61c | 5,039$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.72 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed FTS | 57c | 3,991$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked FTS | 49c | 2,883$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.1 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed FTS | 56c | 2,781$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.78 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PuckChamp | 60c | 2,716$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.58 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked FTS | 39c | 2,414$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.87 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked PuckChamp | 52c | 2,338$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed PuckChamp | 63c | 2,297$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.09 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed FTS | 46c | 2,179$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.19 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed PuckChamp | 60c | 1,790$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed FTS | 40c | 1,727$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.99 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed FTS | 40c | 1,710$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.75 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed PuckChamp | 57c | 1,694$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.27 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 1,344$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.23 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…2ad3backed PuckChamp | 58c | 1,322$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.08 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed PuckChamp | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.92 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed FTS | 50c | 1,288$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.4 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked FTS | 62c | 1,140$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.12 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PuckChamp | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FTS | 37c | 1,044$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…f7f9backed FTS | 77c | 866.66$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 812.02$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked FTS | 46c | 809.92$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.54 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PuckChamp | 75c | 787.58$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 757.72$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked FTS | 55c | 749.94$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed FTS | 36c | 747.27$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…5999backed FTS | 35c | 735.62$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FTS | 35c | 713$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…9968backed FTS | 72c | 703.63$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed FTS | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed FTS | 56c | 675.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.77 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed PuckChamp | 45c | 645.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FTS | 45c | 634.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.73 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed PuckChamp | 43c | 627.58$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed FTS | 50c | 589.37$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.48 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked FTS | 38c | 565$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 64c | 563.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked FTS | 34c | 519.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed FTS | 63c | 515.86$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.22 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed FTS | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FTS | 28c | 499.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp | 65c | 491.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed PuckChamp | 71c | 490.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed FTS | 21c | 490$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed FTS | 44c | 456.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked FTS | 48c | 454.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed PuckChamp | 66c | 447$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked FTS | 31c | 438$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed FTS | 64c | 436.51$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FTS | 48c | 428.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FTS | 42c | 425.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…b615backed PuckChamp | 60c | 418.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…a29ebacked PuckChamp | 63c | 395.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed PuckChamp | 71c | 361.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…d554backed FTS | 34c | 350$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed PuckChamp | 51c | 340.13$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed FTS | 71c | 332.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked FTS | 50c | 332.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FTS | 36c | 327.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed FTS | 57c | 321.82$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 20c | 320.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed FTS | 71c | 320.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed FTS | 43c | 317.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked FTS | 27c | 308.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 303.08$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FTS | 39c | 298.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked FTS | 33c | 277.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…2921backed FTS | 31c | 274.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed FTS | 37c | 273.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed FTS | 43c | 261$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FTS | 29c | 260.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 254.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PuckChamp | 66c | 252.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed PuckChamp | 60c | 244.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked FTS | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked FTS | 41c | 243.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed FTS | 40c | 231.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -15.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…28c2backed PuckChamp | 32c | 228$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp | 71c | 220.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed FTS | 43c | 216.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FTS | 50c | 210.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FTS | 46c | 206.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cf…9ab4backed PuckChamp | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed FTS | 74c | 202.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed FTS | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed PuckChamp | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 194.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed FTS | 70c | 193.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked FTS | 41c | 193.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked FTS | 45c | 189.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FTS | 43c | 175.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FTS | 41c | 173.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed FTS | 44c | 170.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked FTS | 70c | 170$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp won
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5)PuckChamp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.