Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa34a0d3116ee68a2b51ffc85a19fadf77d7679d14fabb61e7738d16fde109678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof FTS, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked FTS | 35c | 12,000$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PuckChamp | 66c | 10,444$6,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.07 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed FTS | 36c | 5,664$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.79 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked FTS | 38c | 5,663$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.13 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked FTS | 32c | 4,009$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.02 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed PuckChamp | 64c | 3,914$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 3,501$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.88 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed PuckChamp | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed PuckChamp | 74c | 2,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.99 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed PuckChamp | 65c | 2,238$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.28 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed FTS | 1c | 2,153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 71c | 2,128$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.57 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked FTS | 30c | 2,040$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.23 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked FTS | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed PuckChamp | 69c | 1,584$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.19 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 1,582$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.88 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FTS | 11c | 1,540$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 1,502$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.48 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed FTS | 38c | 1,490$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked PuckChamp | 60c | 1,342$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed FTS | 33c | 1,241$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp | 63c | 1,189$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.94 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FTS | 39c | 1,141$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.73 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 1,065$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…69e9backed FTS | 39c | 986.88$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked FTS | 3c | 756.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed FTS | 31c | 738.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…1b30backed PuckChamp | 72c | 719.46$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed PuckChamp | 61c | 700.95$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FTS | 24c | 649.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…c059backed FTS | 15c | 599.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed FTS | 28c | 598.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked FTS | 20c | 589.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed FTS | 28c | 536.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked FTS | 27c | 532$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed FTS | 26c | 521.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed FTS | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FTS | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PuckChamp | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed FTS | 39c | 448.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FTS | 24c | 442.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed FTS | 30c | 418$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed FTS | 40c | 402.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed FTS | 26c | 392.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed FTS | 27c | 368.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…9f07backed PuckChamp | 64c | 343.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed FTS | 31c | 327.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 323.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed PuckChamp | 52c | 311.25$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked PuckChamp | 61c | 282.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked FTS | 8c | 265.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed PuckChamp | 63c | 249.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 244.16$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed FTS | 29c | 230.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked PuckChamp | 73c | 227.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed PuckChamp | 67c | 225.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FTS | 25c | 222.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 220.31$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked PuckChamp | 78c | 206.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed PuckChamp | 67c | 203.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 148 | 61.5%91 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed FTS | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…2ad3backed PuckChamp | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed FTS | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed FTS | 26c | 183.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked FTS | 11c | 182.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…0d49backed PuckChamp | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed FTS | 28c | 178.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed FTS | 18c | 178.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked FTS | 26c | 177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed PuckChamp | 59c | 169.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed FTS | 30c | 169.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 166.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FTS | 37c | 165.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked PuckChamp | 63c | 161.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked PuckChamp | 66c | 158.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed PuckChamp | 70c | 156.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed FTS | 43c | 150.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed FTS | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked FTS | 42c | 148.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 144.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed FTS | 37c | 142.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed FTS | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked FTS | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed FTS | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked FTS | 37c | 133.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…6371backed FTS | 22c | 131.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 130.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked FTS | 30c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 118.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PuckChamp | 72c | 118.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed PuckChamp | 71c | 116.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FTS | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked PuckChamp | 78c | 115.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed FTS | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked FTS | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed PuckChamp | 71c | 110.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed FTS | 29c | 100.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed FTS | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked PuckChamp | 68c | 97.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed FTS | 28c | 96.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp won
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5)PuckChamp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.