Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f697522bc593ef81848fad75c0a2d2c4a983cef8806d0a6951963a779c149f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,980,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,283,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,980,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 115,928$44,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,396.59 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 62c | 90,940$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons | 25c | 57,634$14,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,677.56 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 50,901$39,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,584.58 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 46c | 43,835$20,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,281.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 39,716$17,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,100.67 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 31,832$20,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,040.26 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 28,456$15,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,261.96 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 27,671$9,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,709.33 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 10c | 27,426$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.9 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 64c | 26,188$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750.46 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 22,935$13,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,467.59 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 20,190$12,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,835.51 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 19,860$14,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.19 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 19,290$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,293.69 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 18,845$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons | 34c | 18,267$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.28 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Team Falcons | 4c | 17,177$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Falcons | 15c | 17,001$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.41 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 21c | 16,320$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.74 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 15,970$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.77 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 15,928$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,875.6 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 48c | 15,817$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.22 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.94 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Team Falcons | 24c | 14,520$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 14,319$9,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.47 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 64c | 13,790$8,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,825.6 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 13,707$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 13,607$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,844.23 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 13,300$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed Team Falcons | 28c | 13,164$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…a40fbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 12,702$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 12,200$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Falcons | 35c | 12,113$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.63 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 11,780$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…40dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 11,667$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 11,189$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,048.99 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 10,913$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.24 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 10,805$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.05 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Falcons | 26c | 10,667$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.36 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 10,252$7,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.58 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…9a9bbacked Team Falcons | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.97 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 9,654$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.64 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 13c | 9,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.6 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 8,767$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.52 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 8,571$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.43 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 8,388$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.16 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 8,062$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 5c | 8,032$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 7,981$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 7,912$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.74 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 7,789$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.19 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 7,768$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.31 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…ae1ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 7,729$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 7,626$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.55 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 7,546$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.71 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 6,850$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.02 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 6,758$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 6,546$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.97 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 6,387$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Falcons | 63c | 6,369$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.47 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons | 23c | 6,331$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.16 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 6,153$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.21 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 6,043$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.72 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 5,965$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 5,870$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.42 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 5,831$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.22 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 5,758$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.46 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,455$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 63c | 5,348$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.13 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 5,335$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.55 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 5,270$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,243$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…82d6backed Team Falcons | 22c | 5,240$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 5,155$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.78 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,056$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.43 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 5,053$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.05 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 5,017$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.01 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b5…99cebacked Team Falcons | 22c | 4,977$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.12 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 4,820$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.3 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 4,760$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 4,729$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.22 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 4,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 24c | 4,500$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 4,444$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 4,438$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.52 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Falcons | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 64c | 4,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.97 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…315dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 3,920$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 3,779$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.67 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,726$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.83 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Falcons | 22c | 3,695$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.39 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- First Blood in Game 1?Nigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.