Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fc250b2bf421953bddf6641ecb6c829461c72fef1b2de6718c7c5ba19fd29d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,940,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,704,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,940,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,757,256$639,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117,684.79 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 300,000$189,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,999.96 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 197,872$127,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,009.35 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 59c | 148,457$87,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,245.32 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 59c | 86,500$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Team Falcons | 63c | 81,112$51,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,100.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 72,569$32,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,699.32 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 36,300$21,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,157.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.96 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons | 68c | 34,966$23,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,943.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 33,544$13,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,112.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 32,962$13,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,117.86 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 31,693$19,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,181.5 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 30,787$17,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,856.28 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 30,700$20,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,568.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 29,584$13,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,911.48 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Team Falcons | 65c | 28,669$18,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,634.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 26,589$16,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,767.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 25,330$16,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,312.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Falcons | 67c | 25,010$16,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,766.7 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,250 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 24,303$15,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,037.55 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 23,414$13,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,814.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 22,443$13,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,741.32 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 63c | 22,222$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.86 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 21,629$8,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,977.19 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 21,227$9,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,725.55 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 20,974$10,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,332.01 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 20,500$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 20,411$15,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.69 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 20,210$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,177.04 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Falcons | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 20,000$10,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,092.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 19,698$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,463.24 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Team Falcons | 50c | 19,626$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.06 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 18,648$10,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,816.11 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…315dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 18,528$7,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,561.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 64c | 18,212$11,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,655.67 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 16,871$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,020.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 16,060$9,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Team Falcons | 20c | 16,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Team Falcons | 45c | 15,866$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,127.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 15,788$9,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.97 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Falcons | 58c | 15,557$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,015.78 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Team Falcons | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 14,817$10,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,033.32 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 14,570$8,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,403.15 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 14,122$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,225.69 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 13,949$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.14 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 13,564$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 13,535$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,113.61 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…5bd5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 13,500$9,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,072.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 13,250$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 13,208$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,663.56 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Falcons | 59c | 13,000$7,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,710.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 12,970$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,188.03 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons | 65c | 12,733$8,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,328.5 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 12,616$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 12,311$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.71 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 12,068$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Team Falcons | 65c | 11,920$7,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 62c | 11,397$7,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,074.91 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 10,661$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.29 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…76ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 10,399$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 10,323$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.65 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 10,281$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.21 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 10,029$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.15 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 59c | 10,020$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.84 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Falcons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 9,997$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.54 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 9,689$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.65 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 9,570$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 9,357$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.95 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 9,311$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 9,000$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 9,000$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.94 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons | 65c | 8,955$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.35 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 59c | 8,658$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.93 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 8,638$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 59c | 8,616$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.07 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 57c | 8,322$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.04 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Team Falcons | 64c | 8,277$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.34 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 8,105$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 8,057$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.08 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 61c | 7,923$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.28 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…ae1ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 7,880$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 7,817$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Falcons | 60c | 7,721$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.21 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 7,650$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 52c | 7,587$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.56 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 7,523$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 67c | 7,365$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.92 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 7,174$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.01 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Team Falcons | 62c | 6,999$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 6,938$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 6,899$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.56 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- First Blood in Game 1?Nigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.