Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e91c7fd77d9895434455cd565c71015a5ee0c96dbfba86cb897d1f5be30b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Falcons, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 163,605$65,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,213.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 83,112$50,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,829.3 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 21,108$12,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,443.19 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Falcons | 42c | 15,440$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.97 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 14,244$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 39c | 13,587$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 9,980$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.6 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 8,434$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.22 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.93 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Falcons | 39c | 3,591$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.64 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.41 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 3,185$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.16 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,951$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.82 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,612$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.64 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 2,572$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,457$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.61 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,391$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.27 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,376$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,366$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.55 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 2,272$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.27 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Falcons | 27c | 1,358$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,202$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,193$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,039$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.59 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 40c | 986$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 4c | 888$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Falcons | 46c | 723$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 664.41$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Team Falcons | 39c | 569.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Falcons | 39c | 548.72$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 533.54$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.13 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons | 39c | 508$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons | 39c | 499.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed Team Falcons | 44c | 492.87$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Falcons | 41c | 488.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 467.08$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 420.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 419.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 416.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Team Falcons | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 341.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Team Falcons | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 280$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 279.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 278$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…99ecbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 277.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 274.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 264.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Falcons | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…665cbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 240$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Team Falcons | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Team Falcons | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 223.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 221.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Falcons | 38c | 209.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 203.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…e257backed Team Falcons | 40c | 202.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Falcons | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 187.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Team Falcons | 39c | 171.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 42c | 164.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Falcons | 45c | 141.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 126.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…a533backed Team Falcons | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 106.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 103.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 103.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Team Falcons | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 98.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 82.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 78.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 72.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…9d48backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- First Blood in Game 1?Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.