TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc094…c8d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
725
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT33729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 337 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$53.84
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$265.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.7
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.56
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$58.06
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$22.93
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.86
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$198.72
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+199.2%+$287.85
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$25.37
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$84.73
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.33
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$16.76
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.85
Showing 25 of 337 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5628.6%16 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$171.5
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+197.8%+$109.85
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34.87
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$142.98
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.14
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$142.6
Will Meta (META) close above $680 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$213.55
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+90.7%+$97.02
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+114.1%+$36.3
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.7%+$32.95
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.56
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,973
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,840 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.8%+$12.28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+65.1%+$211.24
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$236.04
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31.59
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.8
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$51.66
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.05
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.8
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
LoL: Volticons vs Docta Esports (BO5) - LRS Playoffsbacked Volticons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+326%+$52.8
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.68
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Dynasty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$75.45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.58
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.69
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.16
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.62
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$17.44
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.04
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.95
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.4%+$43.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.27
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.9%+$176.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,058.34
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$284.37
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.3%+$23.41
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42.97
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.7%+$78.62
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$177.37
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$110.45
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$102.13
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$82.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Will Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.33
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$90.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$26.09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$198.66
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+299.8%+$45.37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$122.58
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+316.5%+$300.92
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+30.2%+$90.58
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.57
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$406.16
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$361.44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67%+$49.33
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$713.35
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$92.83
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$25.44
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26%+$344.41
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$280.69
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$575.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+347.3%+$56.29
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,485.35
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.22
Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+82.6%+$8.37
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+51%+$46.11
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+45.1%+$227.4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$168.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$494.55
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+113.7%+$823.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.89
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.97
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.36
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.7
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.18
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.3
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$18.37
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$103.36
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$83.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.08
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$29.09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.62
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.79
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+284.7%+$180.57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$66.7
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+84.6%+$184.01
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$396.8
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$67.87
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$303.24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$36.24
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.37
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37.54
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$7.7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$34.29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+287.7%+$48.23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Megaquake by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$14.08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.8%+$424.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.76
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$221.98
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$53.28
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+52%+$276.54
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$1,568.75
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.17
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.83
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.31
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.13
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85.18
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$461.36
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$81.82
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.23
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54.72
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,938.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+113.1%+$134.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.8%+$1,205.89
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+80.6%+$472.36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+179.9%+$169.03
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$128.73
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$153.63
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.96
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$852.29
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$628.94
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+84.4%+$166.18
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54.01
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$44.63
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$17.73
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$32.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$42.81
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$23.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+455.7%+$64.69
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$38.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$136.55
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+412.6%+$418.9
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+124%+$88.62
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$56.18
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$147.3
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.64
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.71
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.83
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$887.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$79.19
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$21
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$40.64
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$179.95
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.4%+$150.06
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$182.12
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,764.79
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$79.19
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+45.1%+$114.06
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+468.5%+$123.6
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.76
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$322.64
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$326.61
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$53.07
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+149.9%+$81.28
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.12
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.7%+$162.44
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.07
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+214.7%+$189.66
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$101.75
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15.87
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.6%+$547.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-55.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+32.6%+$13.02
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$135.06
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+116.8%+$79.19
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.67
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.94
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$79.98
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$33.95
Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.49
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$409.77
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+62.6%+$56.81
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+32.4%+$309.56
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.75
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$114.95
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$551.92
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+48.7%+$648.63
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$139.75
Will the US lose jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58.28
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.31
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$141.07
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$85.97
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27%+$1,131.64
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$651.19
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$141.2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.56
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$552.88
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.37
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.51
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.62
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$213.25
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.24
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.01
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+336.3%+$129.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.79
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$3.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$142.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,431Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37.4%+$909.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.