Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ecfc81ba1e10cef891bce932936fec375f0b6f0c05a3289ac2ab8fe1126df65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof T1 Academy, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 24,097$13,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.7 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed T1 Academy | 42c | 17,800$7,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,476 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed T1 Academy | 42c | 7,432$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 1,730$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed T1 Academy | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed T1 Academy | 41c | 386.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed T1 Academy | 42c | 366.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked T1 Academy | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed T1 Academy | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked T1 Academy | 41c | 220.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 187.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 54c | 171.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed T1 Academy | 23c | 159.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed T1 Academy | 64c | 122.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked T1 Academy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed T1 Academy | 42c | 88.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed T1 Academy | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…80dbbacked T1 Academy | 41c | 78.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked T1 Academy | 41c | 77.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked T1 Academy | 51c | 69.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed T1 Academy | 41c | 64.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed T1 Academy | 41c | 63.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed T1 Academy | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -16.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 59.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 52.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 42c | 51.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 50.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed T1 Academy | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed T1 Academy | 41c | 34.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed T1 Academy | 31c | 34.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 70c | 34.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 40c | 33.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed T1 Academy | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked T1 Academy | 73c | 29.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 26.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 41c | 24.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed T1 Academy | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupT1 Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.