CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf9a8ec76bc2e1d4b03bf26bb91ff580c208b62a44cf6e12178423f785a5419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof NIP, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $671,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2805…76edbacked paiN | 59c | 22,063$12,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,116.91 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked paiN | 50c | 19,972$9,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.19 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed NIP | 44c | 15,992$7,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,084.84 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 46c | 13,924$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.1 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 50c | 11,426$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.89 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NIP | 50c | 11,211$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.78 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN | 49c | 10,642$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 45c | 9,657$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.08 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 57c | 9,267$5,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.7 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed paiN | 49c | 8,800$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.82 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NIP | 49c | 8,522$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…1b93backed NIP | 50c | 7,093$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 50c | 6,698$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.85 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 40c | 6,365$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.2 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked paiN | 49c | 6,242$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.56 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed paiN | 50c | 6,101$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed paiN | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.38 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 59c | 5,842$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…d555backed NIP | 2c | 5,823$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed paiN | 44c | 5,793$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.78 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN | 52c | 5,737$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.65 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 44c | 5,003$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.49 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed paiN | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked paiN | 38c | 4,766$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.31 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed NIP | 68c | 4,516$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.06 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed NIP | 51c | 4,400$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.97 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN | 41c | 3,881$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.66 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed paiN | 37c | 3,822$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.14 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed NIP | 39c | 3,590$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.84 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed NIP | 51c | 3,557$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.38 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 57c | 3,349$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.67 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NIP | 61c | 3,212$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.51 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN | 33c | 3,078$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.55 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 51c | 3,005$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.83 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN | 47c | 2,762$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.48 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 54c | 2,482$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.02 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed NIP | 49c | 2,412$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.88 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked NIP | 41c | 2,338$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.28 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked NIP | 43c | 2,147$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.79 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 48c | 2,000$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.43 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked NIP | 50c | 1,845$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.32 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed NIP | 49c | 1,836$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed paiN | 49c | 1,751$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.78 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed paiN | 46c | 1,738$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.7 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 24c | 1,567$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.29 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked NIP | 44c | 1,567$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.88 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed paiN | 64c | 1,534$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.34 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN | 47c | 1,462$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.53 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked paiN | 54c | 1,443$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.98 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked paiN | 48c | 1,428$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.91 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NIP | 50c | 1,414$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.16 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked paiN | 66c | 1,314$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.74 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked NIP | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked paiN | 63c | 1,269$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.67 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed paiN | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked NIP | 45c | 1,168$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.45 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked NIP | 50c | 1,109$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.38 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked paiN | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.28 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed NIP | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.88 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked paiN | 51c | 1,065$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 38c | 1,054$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed NIP | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked NIP | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked NIP | 40c | 1,002$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.27 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed paiN | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed paiN | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.43 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed NIP | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed NIP | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed NIP | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked NIP | 47c | 898.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.56 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed NIP | 47c | 856.29$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN | 46c | 854.34$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.29 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed NIP | 49c | 810.25$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN | 50c | 800$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked NIP | 52c | 779.54$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.96 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed NIP | 71c | 774.99$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP | 48c | 773.96$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed paiN | 42c | 749.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed NIP | 46c | 748.43$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.08 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 48c | 742.89$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 53c | 737.01$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 50c | 718$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed paiN | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 49c | 690.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed paiN | 54c | 649.96$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 41c | 629.02$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.36 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN | 73c | 626$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed paiN | 50c | 614.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed NIP | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 39c | 557.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed NIP | 51c | 550$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed NIP | 55c | 545.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked NIP | 56c | 534.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed NIP | 29c | 500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked NIP | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed paiN | 74c | 500$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed paiN | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed paiN | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.