CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0d36c226af04a10cf43dc95e5bbbe4fa2e22e68b691a18e709124bbaa39ee3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: paiNof NIP, paiN
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $192,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,708 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed NIP	32c	30,381$9,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,873.55	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN	56c	8,222$4,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,628.72	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked paiN	64c	6,590$4,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,388.52	410	40%164 W · 246 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe816…1b93backed NIP	35c	6,251$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked paiN	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	361	52.6%190 W · 171 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN	52c	5,000$2,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,386.22	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP	67c	4,400$2,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,967.4	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed paiN	40c	4,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.98	269	52.8%142 W · 127 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked NIP	48c	3,981$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	158	38%60 W · 98 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked NIP	48c	3,150$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.07	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked paiN	51c	2,746$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,346.44	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed NIP	60c	2,690$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP	60c	2,499$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.4	1,256	46.7%587 W · 669 L	+17.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed NIP	16c	2,280$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.4	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked NIP	5c	2,118$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	432	37.7%163 W · 269 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed NIP	47c	2,107$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	190	61.6%117 W · 73 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed NIP	11c	2,080$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.51	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN	40c	2,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NIP	60c	2,000$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,204.99	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP	37c	1,863$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.29	547	32.2%176 W · 371 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed paiN	73c	1,848$1,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.41	62	71%44 W · 18 L	+12.9wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed paiN	65c	1,847$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.7	550	39.6%218 W · 332 L	-20.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN	40c	1,816$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.73	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked NIP	57c	1,811$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,032.4	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed paiN	73c	1,809$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.2	402	64.7%260 W · 142 L	+49.2wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN	67c	1,756$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.23	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed paiN	46c	1,711$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.97	870	47.9%417 W · 453 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN	53c	1,710$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.78	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed paiN	40c	1,700$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked paiN	48c	1,568$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.27	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN	44c	1,442$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.28	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed paiN	41c	1,355$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.21	239	49%117 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN	67c	1,250$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.5	887	46.7%414 W · 473 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN	39c	1,216$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.63	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN	58c	1,212$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.71	752	45.3%341 W · 411 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed NIP	58c	1,120$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.6	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked NIP	5c	1,051$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.16	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked NIP	7c	1,028$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	227	29.1%66 W · 161 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed NIP	55c	999.99$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.59	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked NIP	8c	949.58$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.13	489	48.9%239 W · 250 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP	61c	885.25$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked paiN	40c	835$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.2	495	36.4%180 W · 315 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed NIP	5c	760$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	242	33.9%82 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed NIP	45c	750$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.77	552	36.2%200 W · 352 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN	65c	749$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.32	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NIP	17c	737.2$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.68	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed paiN	39c	672.13$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	288	43.1%124 W · 164 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked NIP	35c	602.14$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.75	258	46.1%119 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed paiN	55c	589.82$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.79	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked NIP	60c	564.25$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.55	402	53.7%216 W · 186 L	+25.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NIP	11c	548.83$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.55	664	46.4%308 W · 356 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP	28c	548.21$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.36	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked NIP	51c	530.22$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.84	277	40.8%113 W · 164 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed NIP	5c	520.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked paiN	32c	500$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked paiN	58c	457.24$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.24	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NIP	55c	431.98$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.51	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed paiN	72c	417.66$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.66	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked NIP	57c	416.05$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NIP	5c	408.7$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked NIP	37c	405.6$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked paiN	64c	380.89$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.23	431	52.9%228 W · 203 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed paiN	74c	379.04$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.07	414	75.4%312 W · 102 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NIP	20c	368$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP	39c	358.61$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.86	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked NIP	62c	354.94$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.9	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN	78c	350$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.41	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed NIP	19c	346.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.83	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed paiN	38c	338.94$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.14	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed NIP	16c	322.1$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked paiN	58c	309.03$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.79	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked NIP	19c	307.45$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	289	35.3%102 W · 187 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP	5c	295$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN	41c	276.3$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.54	447	47.2%211 W · 236 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP	5c	275$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed NIP	10c	275$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	587	55.9%328 W · 259 L	+24.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked NIP	36c	270$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.2	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe50…e2cdbacked paiN	73c	259.11$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.96	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed paiN	55c	230.04$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.47	106	58.5%62 W · 44 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed NIP	60c	219.74$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.09	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN	43c	209.51$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.01	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed paiN	58c	201.46$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.27	376	46.3%174 W · 202 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NIP	7c	197.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NIP	44c	189.62$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.44	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked paiN	58c	168.9$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	656	62.3%409 W · 247 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed paiN	73c	164.38$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.38	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked NIP	39c	162.05$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked paiN	63c	159.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.02	250	45.2%113 W · 137 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked paiN	37c	157.24$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.06	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP	21c	153$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.13	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed NIP	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	199	47.2%94 W · 105 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed paiN	42c	144.69$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.92	426	51.6%220 W · 206 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f94…13c3backed NIP	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed paiN	40c	137$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.2	125	51.2%64 W · 61 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed paiN	71c	114.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	245	58%142 W · 103 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN	44c	107.65$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.81	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NIP	58c	105$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed NIP	35c	100.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed paiN	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.45	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed NIP	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	488	26.2%128 W · 360 L	-44.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierpaiN won
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)paiN won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event