CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0baf8ea2aecb656075d30dea6d139a88e2db45131649d929db12b6d17a5e325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Over | 48c | 2,357$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.51 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 41c | 1,322$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.23 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…b7b5backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…a05cbacked Under | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 968.04$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.7 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 689.8$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 592.35$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 544$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 51c | 517.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 260.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 48c | 256$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 44c | 252.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 244.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Over | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 165$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 160.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Over | 54c | 151.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 137.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 55c | 111.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Under | 53c | 93.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 58c | 92.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 45c | 89.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 86.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe402…4243backed Over | 50c | 83.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed Over | 41c | 73.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 44c | 68.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 62.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 67c | 60.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…4b8abacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 43c | 47.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Over | 33c | 46.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 49c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Under | 64c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Under | 76c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.