TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb342…64b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.19
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$26.14
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$19.97
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Cbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$22.9
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$17.27
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+232.3%+$60.92
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Noir Verse (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Abacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$23.04
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
US Open, Qualification WTA: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Francisca Jorgebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
US Open, Qualification WTA: Anouk Koevermans vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Augsburg: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dominik Recekbacked Georgii Kravchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagybacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekhbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+338.6%+$41.31
Cancun: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan Kumstatbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+271.4%+$37.45
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Brownsburg: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$8.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+313.3%+$102.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$44.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.