TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
aimclubof aimclub, mellren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf43f…6c9dbacked mellren42c9,558$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.272969%20 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed aimclub60c5,984$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.541,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked aimclub51c5,957$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.0635347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed aimclub58c4,977$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.715240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed mellren46c4,905$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.449952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf646…923bbacked mellren39c4,670$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked mellren32c4,162$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.319252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed aimclub46c4,117$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.76640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed mellren51c3,995$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.1223356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed mellren48c3,389$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.2528743.2%124 W · 163 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed aimclub52c3,196$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.682,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked mellren56c3,027$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.2622056.8%125 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked aimclub53c2,955$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.9416343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked mellren56c2,700$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51243751.7%226 W · 211 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked aimclub67c2,509$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.443,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed mellren33c2,270$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.441050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked mellren15c2,207$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed mellren46c2,156$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.612853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked mellren71c2,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.9994445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddc…c874backed mellren40c1,906$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.351861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked aimclub69c1,847$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.782,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed aimclub45c1,845$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.492,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed aimclub66c1,734$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.15,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked aimclub52c1,716$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.562,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed aimclub44c1,585$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.313545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed mellren63c1,579$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked aimclub45c1,478$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.235131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed mellren59c1,447$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.2913857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed mellren35c1,367$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.18369.9%58 W · 25 L+17.4wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed mellren48c1,361$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.343055.1%237 W · 193 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked mellren22c1,357$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.513834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed aimclub59c1,309$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.843542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed aimclub60c1,296$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.9187330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren52c1,280$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66121545.6%98 W · 117 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed mellren42c1,177$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked aimclub54c1,169$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.187,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed aimclub53c1,111$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.085639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed mellren41c1,074$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed aimclub54c1,057$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd544…4994backed mellren48c1,049$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked aimclub62c1,009$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.773,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed aimclub55c975.95$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.15438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d8…8eafbacked mellren54c960.96$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.924768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed mellren52c922.21$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9935153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed aimclub46c902.22$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.233327.9%93 W · 240 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed mellren38c851.09$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.844761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed aimclub74c786.37$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.471,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed aimclub49c770.53$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.234233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked mellren48c762.83$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.147357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed mellren58c691.34$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5764058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed aimclub29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6615823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x25f8…66c2backed mellren54c687.75$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed mellren38c668.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5913148.9%64 W · 67 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked aimclub59c652.04$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.141,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabf…320bbacked mellren46c639$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed aimclub63c636.6$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5440542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked aimclub64c636.03$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.775,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed mellren25c611.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8349841.8%208 W · 290 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked aimclub37c599.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9912160.3%73 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe222…6019backed mellren48c591.92$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.84450%22 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed aimclub57c585.87$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.856,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked mellren7c582.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0511656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed mellren46c581.42$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9112750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed mellren70c579.24$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9545065.6%295 W · 155 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked aimclub65c560.08$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.333,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed aimclub47c538.17$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.983351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed aimclub57c529.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.72,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x717b…a128backed aimclub28c525.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.562661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed aimclub49c520.76$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.156942%29 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed mellren45c519.5$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0912271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed aimclub50c514.62$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6217446.6%81 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed aimclub40c502.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.537638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked aimclub55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22524447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed aimclub55c499.98$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9916442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked mellren75c495.07$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.513371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked aimclub51c477.51$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.34942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed aimclub63c459.38$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4739064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked aimclub44c436.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7114747.6%70 W · 77 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked aimclub35c435.21$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5112727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a3…1753backed mellren40c415.55$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.197159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf5…75efbacked aimclub46c401.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+245.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x824a…3952backed mellren50c399.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013938.8%54 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked aimclub56c393.52$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.752,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked aimclub38c382.55$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5535745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac33…fda0backed mellren46c370.78$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.67146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed aimclub71c328.88$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9340175.1%301 W · 100 L+20.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b6…eec6backed aimclub52c325.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.852152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186c…1d32backed mellren32c319.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked aimclub54c314.46$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.171,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked aimclub52c310.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.522,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed aimclub52c310$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.820045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked mellren35c303.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.519342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed mellren39c287$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.721350.2%107 W · 106 L+16.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked aimclub43c283.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2147836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed mellren44c282.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1512254.9%67 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed mellren49c282.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8660755%334 W · 273 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked mellren52c269.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.111460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfadf…8c2cbacked mellren17c263.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462969%20 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed aimclub28c254.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.058737.9%33 W · 54 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x885b…a30dbacked aimclub40c240.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.